Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 5

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Nieciecza

Home

1 : 3

HT 0 - 1

Polonia Warszawa

Away

AI call Polonia Warszawa or draw

35%

29%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa prediction: Sportiko gives Nieciecza a 35% chance of winning, Polonia Warszawa 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:23.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Away to Score 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 49'

57' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 60'

⇄ 67'

⇄ 76'

Yellow Card

78' ▮

Yellow Card

79' ▮

⇄ 82'

83' ⇄

88' ⚽ 1–3

FT 1–3

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean

Polonia Warszawa or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Nieciecza

WWWWD

Polonia Warszawa

WDLWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Polonia Warszawa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Nieciecza goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	9.3%	6.8%	2.8%	0.9%
1	8.9%	14.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.3%	7.8%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.5%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nieciecza	Draw	Polonia Warszawa
Nieciecza	17.3%	3.9%	1.7%
Draw	15.1%	20.2%	14.5%
Polonia Warszawa	2.1%	4.7%	20.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nieciecza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Odra Opole	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Stal Mielec	W	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Lechia Gdansk	W	2 - 1
01 Sep	A Wigry Suwałki	W	1 - 5
28 Aug	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	D	2 - 2

Polonia Warszawa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chrobry Głogów	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	H Polonia Bytom	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Stal Rzeszów	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	A Górnik Polkowice	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Lechia Gdansk	L	2 - 4

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.