Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 3

08 Aug 2026, 18:15

Post on X

Lechia Gdansk

Away

AI call Podbeskidzie to win

74%

17%

Home Win · 1.27 Draw · 5.85 Away Win · 10.70

Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk prediction: Sportiko gives Podbeskidzie a 74% chance of winning, Lechia Gdansk 9% and the draw 17%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Podbeskidzie

WDDWW

Lechia Gdansk

LLLWL

Match summary

Podbeskidzie will face Lechia Gdansk in a crucial I Liga matchup. Podbeskidzie has shown a strong home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Lechia Gdansk has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, with Podbeskidzie aiming to leverage their offensive capabilities against a leaky Lechia defense. Key players to watch include Podbeskidzie's top scorer, who has netted 6 goals, and Lechia's playmaker, who contributes significantly to their build-up play. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams eager to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

74%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lechia Gdansk goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	1
1	15	10	3	1
2	15	9	3
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Podbeskidzie goals · most likely 2–0 (15.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	3.5%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
1	14.6%	10.3%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.4%	8.9%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	10.0%	5.8%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.9%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Podbeskidzie	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
Podbeskidzie	41.0%	2.2%	0.4%
Draw	26.0%	15.1%	3.8%
Lechia Gdansk	2.8%	3.3%	5.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

56%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Podbeskidzie — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Hutnik Kraków	W	2 - 0
02 Aug	A Stal Mielec	D	3 - 3
27 Jul	A Miedz Legnica	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	H Nieciecza	W	1 - 0
12 Jul	A Wisla Krakow	W	0 - 1

Lechia Gdansk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Warta Poznań	L	0 - 3
25 Jul	H Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	L	0 - 3
04 Jul	H Olimpia Grudziądz	L	1 - 3
21 Mar	H Pogon Szczecin	W	2 - 1
14 Mar	A GKS Katowice	L	2 - 0

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	3	2	1	0	5	2	+3	7
2	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	5	0	+5	6
3	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	2	0	0	4	0	+4	6
4	Nieciecza	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6
5	Miedz Legnica	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
6	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	5	4	+1	4
7	ŁKS Łódź	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
8	Polonia Bytom	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
9	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	5	2	+3	3
10	Warta Poznań	2	1	0	1	6	4	+2	3
11	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
12	Podbeskidzie	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Pogoń Siedlce	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2
14	Ruch Chorzów	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
15	Puszcza Niepołomice	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0
16	Unia Skierniewice	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0
17	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	0	6	-6	0
18	Stal Rzeszów	2	0	0	2	1	9	-8	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.