Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 3

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Polonia Bytom

Home

2 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Pogoń Siedlce

Away

AI call Difficult Polonia Bytom win or draw

55%

26%

19%

Home Win · 1.69 Draw · 4.00 Away Win · 4.81

Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction: Sportiko gives Polonia Bytom a 55% chance of winning, Pogoń Siedlce 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 17:55.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

8' ▮

⚽ 0–1 9'

▮ 36'

Yellow Card

36' ▮

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

56' ⇄

⇄ 65'

68' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 69'

72' ⚽ 2–1

Yellow Card

75' ▮

76' ⇄

81' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 82'

⇄ 84'

FT 2–2

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Polonia Bytom win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Polonia Bytom

DLWLW

Pogoń Siedlce

DLDDL

Live insights

82' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 81.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 81.6%. Late goal chance: 19.3%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Polonia Bytom leads 2-1. Win probability: 90.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.5%.

73' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Polonia Bytom win: 89.7%. BTTS: 100%.

69' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 61.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pogoń Siedlce goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Polonia Bytom goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	5.7%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.8%	13.1%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.6%	9.4%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	6.3%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Polonia Bytom	Draw	Pogoń Siedlce
Polonia Bytom	32.0%	3.0%	0.7%
Draw	21.4%	18.3%	6.5%
Pogoń Siedlce	2.8%	4.5%	10.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Polonia Bytom — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Pogoń Siedlce	D	2 - 2
31 Jul	A ŁKS Łódź	L	2 - 1
24 Jul	H Warta Poznań	W	4 - 3
11 Jul	A Opava	L	3 - 2
04 Jul	H Rekord Bielsko-Biała	W	3 - 1

Pogoń Siedlce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Polonia Bytom	D	2 - 2
01 Aug	H Nieciecza	L	1 - 2
25 Jul	H ŁKS Łódź	D	1 - 1
11 Jul	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	D	2 - 2
22 Mar	H Chrobry Głogów	L	1 - 2

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	3	2	1	0	5	2	+3	7
2	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	5	0	+5	6
3	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	2	0	0	4	0	+4	6
4	Nieciecza	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6
5	Miedz Legnica	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
6	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	5	4	+1	4
7	ŁKS Łódź	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
8	Polonia Bytom	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
9	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	5	2	+3	3
10	Warta Poznań	2	1	0	1	6	4	+2	3
11	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3
12	Podbeskidzie	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Pogoń Siedlce	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2
14	Ruch Chorzów	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
15	Puszcza Niepołomice	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0
16	Unia Skierniewice	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0
17	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	0	6	-6	0
18	Stal Rzeszów	2	0	0	2	1	9	-8	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.