Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 13

Post on X

Septemvri Sofia

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away

Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia

AI call Lokomotiv Sofia or draw

27%

28%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Septemvri Sofia a 27% chance of winning, Lokomotiv Sofia 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Nov 2026, 16:54.

Premium picks

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Yellow Card

2' ▮

▮ 24'

Yellow Card

31' ▮

▮ 33'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

46' ⇄

49' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 60'

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

66' ⇄

N. Fontaine

77' ⇄

⇄ 79'

86' ⇄

⇄ 87'

FT 1–0

Septemvri Sofia

Match Stats

Lokomotiv Sofia

39% Ball Possession 61%

8 Total Shots 10

5 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 7

0 Blocked Shots 0

3 Corner Kicks 8

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lokomotiv Sofia or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Septemvri Sofia

WLLLL

Lokomotiv Sofia

LLDWD

Last 1 meetings Septemvri Sofia · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Septemvri Sofia leads 1-0. Win probability: 81.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 18.7%.

50' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Septemvri Sofia win: 66.9%. BTTS: 49.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 41.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Septemvri Sofia

André Filipe Rio Liberal 1 gls

F. Herard 1 gls

A. Dzhamov 1 gls

Lokomotiv Sofia

S. Delev 1 gls

D. Kostadinov 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia

0 Septemvri Sofia Wins

0 Draws

1 Lokomotiv Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Mar 2026	Lokomotiv Sofia	3 - 0	Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	H Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 0
02 Nov	A Arda Kardzhali	L	2 - 1
27 Oct	A Cherno More Varna	L	2 - 0
17 Oct	A Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	L	2 - 1
11 Oct	H Dunav Ruse	L	2 - 3

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	A Septemvri Sofia	L	1 - 0
30 Oct	H Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 5
24 Oct	H Botev Vratsa	D	1 - 1
17 Oct	A Vihren	W	1 - 2
10 Oct	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	D	1 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	12	10	2	0	25	5	+20	32
2	CSKA Sofia	13	9	4	0	29	9	+20	31
3	Ludogorets	13	9	3	1	26	11	+15	30
4	CSKA 1948	14	9	2	3	33	16	+17	29
5	Botev Plovdiv	14	7	2	5	23	21	+2	23
6	Arda Kardzhali	13	6	3	4	18	19	-1	21
7	Slavia Sofia	14	2	8	4	9	9	0	14
8	Spartak Varna	13	3	4	6	12	23	-11	13
9	Cherno More Varna	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
10	Dunav Ruse	14	3	3	8	16	23	-7	12
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	14	3	3	8	8	18	-10	12
12	Septemvri Sofia	14	3	2	9	12	25	-13	11
13	Botev Vratsa	14	2	4	8	11	24	-13	10
14	Lokomotiv Sofia	14	1	6	7	15	26	-11	9

Septemvri Sofia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: M. Kašćelan

12 Ivanov

26 Ozornwafor

25 Vulikić

4 Hristov

11 Dzhamov

19 pedrinho

5 Baurenski

17 Fontaine

6 Ferreira

27 Liberal

29 Herard

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	V. Ivanov	G
4	M. Hristov	D
25	S. Vulikić	D
26	V. Ozornwafor	D
6	Pedro Ferreira	M
17	N. Fontaine	F
5	Y. Baurenski	M
19	pedrinho	D
11	A. Dzhamov	F
29	F. Herard	F
27	André Filipe Rio Liberal	F

Substitutes

16	V. Mihaylov	M
24	Z. Atanasov	M
13	K. Önaşçı	M
1	A. Radkov	G
28	S. Stoichkov	F
23	B. Stoichkov	F
7	E. Ribeiro	F
18	Pedro Igor	F
10	N. Iliev	M
15	P. Gospodinov	D
22	N. Genchev	F

Lokomotiv Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz

99 Velichkov

14 Lyaskov

42 Neychev

91 Bidounga

6 Eirô

11 Taoui

8 Yordanov

31 Stanoev

7 Delev

29 Aralica

16 Medfai

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	M. Velichkov	G
6	Eirô	D
91	R. Bidounga	D
42	N. Neychev	M
14	A. Lyaskov	D
31	K. Stanoev	M
8	I. Yordanov	M
11	A. Taoui	F
16	M. Medfai	M
29	A. Aralica	F
7	S. Delev	F

Substitutes

44	B. Katsarov	M
23	O. Oduko	D
20	D. Kostadinov	M
77	Caue Caruzo	F
18	Joyce Kati Katulondi	F
3	K. Kostov	D
26	K. Miloshev	M
9	G. Minchev	F
17	M. Papazov	F
21	K. Chachev	M