Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Home

1 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Cherno More Varna

Away

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv

AI call Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw

37%

31%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 37% chance of winning, Cherno More Varna 32% and the draw 31%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 18:02.

Premium picks

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Home to Score 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Timeline

4' 🖵

21' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

55' ▮

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

Yellow Card

71' ▮

76' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Yellow Card

87' ▮

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

89' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Match Stats

Cherno More Varna

39% Ball Possession 61%

8 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 6

0 Blocked Shots 0

3 Corner Kicks 3

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv

DLWLL

Cherno More Varna

DDLLW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cherno More Varna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	8.1%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.5%	14.6%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.4%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Draw	Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	23.0%	4.7%	2.0%
Draw	15.1%	19.7%	13.4%
Cherno More Varna	1.9%	4.0%	16.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H Arda Kardzhali	L	0 - 1

Cherno More Varna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Arda Kardzhali	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Dunav Ruse	W	3 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5