Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Botev Vratsa

Away

Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia

AI call Septemvri Sofia or draw

39%

32%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction: Sportiko gives Septemvri Sofia a 39% chance of winning, Botev Vratsa 30% and the draw 32%. Last updated 4 Sep 2026, 17:52.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Home to Score 71%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

25' ▮

▮ 28'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 41'

HT 0–1

53' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 63'

73' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 78'

Yellow Card

80' ▮

80' ⇄

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

⚽ 2–2 86'

⚽ 2–3 89'

90' ⇄

FT 2–3

Septemvri Sofia

Match Stats

Botev Vratsa

59% Ball Possession 41%

10 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 0

9 Corner Kicks 2

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Septemvri Sofia or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Septemvri Sofia

LLLDW

Botev Vratsa

DDWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming First League match, Septemvri Sofia will face Botev Vratsa. Septemvri has shown mixed form this season, with a current record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, highlighting their struggles in both defense and attack. Botev Vratsa, on the other hand, has been slightly more consistent, sitting mid-table with a balanced record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Key players to watch include Septemvri's top scorer, who will need to capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Botev’s strong midfield presence could dictate the pace of the game. The outcome will likely depend on which team can better exploit defensive weaknesses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Botev Vratsa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Septemvri Sofia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Septemvri Sofia

André Filipe Rio Liberal 0 gls

Botev Vratsa

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	8.9%	5.7%	2.0%	0.5%
1	10.8%	14.9%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%
2	7.7%	8.2%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.2%	3.4%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Septemvri Sofia	Draw	Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia	18.8%	3.6%	1.4%
Draw	18.4%	21.3%	12.8%
Botev Vratsa	2.4%	4.7%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Septemvri Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	0 - 3
14 Sep	A Ludogorets	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Vratsa	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H CSKA 1948	W	1 - 0

Botev Vratsa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dunav Ruse	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Levski Sofia	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	A Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 3
31 Aug	A Arda Kardzhali	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H Botev Plovdiv	W	1 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Septemvri Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

12 Ivanov

13 Önaşçı

4 Hristov

26 Ozornwafor

8 Penchev

5 Baurenski

6 Ferreira

19 Igor

33 Ivanov

29 Herard

7 Ribeiro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	V. Ivanov	G
8	B. Penchev	M
26	V. Ozornwafor	D
4	M. Hristov	D
13	K. Önaşçı	M
6	Pedro Ferreira	M
5	Y. Baurenski	M
29	F. Herard	F
33	G. Ivanov	M
19	Pedro Igor	F
7	E. Ribeiro	F

Substitutes

24	Z. Atanasov	M
14	A. Vutov	M
30	Viktor Dobrev	M
11	A. Dzhamov	F
15	P. Gospodinov	D
21	N. Krastev	G
27	André Filipe Rio Liberal	F
16	V. Mihaylov	M
23	B. Stoichkov	F
28	S. Stoichkov	F
20	B. Tomovski	D

Botev Vratsa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Todor Simov

98 Vasilev

3 Sanyang

4 Goranov

36 Stoev

81 Hadji

12 Yurukov

7 Tsonev

10 Gallegos

79 Petkov

97 Naydenov

99 Borukov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
98	L. Vasilev	G
81	K. Hadji	M
36	M. Stoev	D
4	I. Goranov	F
3	S. Sanyang	D
7	R. Tsonev	M
12	I. Yurukov	M
97	V. Naydenov	F
79	M. Petkov	F
10	J. Gallegos	M
99	P. Borukov	F

Substitutes

24	M. Smolenski	M
17	S. Mechev	F
6	A. Kichukov	M
90	Filip gigov	F
9	D. Genov	D
21	M. Dimitrov	D
25	A. Buchkov	D
88	L. Boyanov	D
11	M. Achkov	D