Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 6

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Arda Kardzhali

Away

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv

AI call Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

19%

28%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 19% chance of winning, Arda Kardzhali 53% and the draw 28%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 20:12.

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Home or Away 72%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

14' ▮

Red Card

16' ▮

▮ 20'

Yellow Card

▮ 40'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

57' ⇄

⇄ 62'

⚽ 0–1 66'

69' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Yellow Card

78' ▮

84' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Stanislav Ivanov

⇄ 87'

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv

DLWLL

Arda Kardzhali

DLLWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

19%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

53%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arda Kardzhali goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	16	15	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	3	1	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals · most likely 0–1 (16.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

28%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

28%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	16.3%	14.6%	8.0%	3.3%
1	5.0%	11.8%	8.6%	4.7%	2.0%
2	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Draw	Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	6.1%	2.8%	1.5%
Draw	5.5%	18.6%	20.0%
Arda Kardzhali	0.6%	3.4%	41.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H Arda Kardzhali	L	0 - 1

Arda Kardzhali — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A CSKA Sofia	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 3
31 Aug	H Botev Vratsa	W	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	0 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Dusan Kosic

1 Milosavljević

5 Pavlov

13 Ryan

4 Chindriş

2 Cova

12 Ali

22 Ivanov

99 Lamy

39 Umarbaev

7 Idriz

29 Longville

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Bojan Milosavljević	G
2	Adrián Cova	D
4	Andrei Chindriş	D
13	Lucas Ryan	D
5	Todor Pavlov	D
22	Ivaylo Ivanov	M
12	Efe Ali	M
7	Sevi Idriz	M
39	Parvizdzhon Umarbaev	M
99	Julien Lamy	M
29	Christ Longville	F

Substitutes

40	Petar Zovko	G
26	Denis Kirashki	D
44	Milan Petrovic	D
3	Dalil Ali	D
6	Miha Trdan	M
30	Alexander Alexandrov	M
11	Ryan Yang Leijten	M
9	Axel Velev	F
10	Yoan Dzhelepov	F

Arda Kardzhali

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

1 Gospodinov

6 Popov

5 Lyubenov

24 Paskalev

21 Velev

8 Yankov

80 Kotev

99 Karagaren

91 Ivanov

10 Kovachev

16 Bachev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anatoli Gospodinov	G
21	Vyacheslav Velev	D
24	Martin Paskalev	D
5	Viktor Lyubenov	D
6	Viktor Popov	D
80	Lachezar Kotev	M
8	Dominik Yankov	M
10	Svetoslav Kovachev	M
91	Stanislav Ivanov	M
99	Birsent Karagaren	M
16	Preslav Bachev	F

Substitutes

22	Yanko Georgiev	G
18	Simeon Vasilev	D
44	Adama Ardile Traoré	D
26	Burak Akandzha	M
4	Idowu David Akintola	M
11	Atanas Kabov	M
9	Georgi Nikolov	F