Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 5

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Arda Kardzhali

Home

3 : 1

HT 2 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away

Arena Arda, Kardzhali

AI call Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

58%

26%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Arda Kardzhali a 58% chance of winning, Lokomotiv Sofia 16% and the draw 26%. Last updated 17 Aug 2026, 20:09.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Goal Disallowed - video review

3' 🖵

🖵 20'

Goal Disallowed - video review

Stanislav Ivanov

31' ⚽ 1–0

Stanislav Ivanov

35' ⚽ 2–0

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 2–0

46' ⇄

▮ 51'

Yellow Card

▮ 62'

Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

69' ⇄

70' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 75'

Stanislav Ivanov

76' ⇄

⇄ 80'

88' ⚽ 3–1

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

FT 3–1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Arda Kardzhali win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Arda Kardzhali

DLLWW

Lokomotiv Sofia

WLDLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv Sofia goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	18	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	4	2
5	2	1

↑ Arda Kardzhali goals · most likely 1–0 (18.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	18.1%	10.0%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.0%	7.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.0%	4.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.4%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arda Kardzhali	Draw	Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali	40.4%	2.3%	0.4%
Draw	26.9%	17.6%	4.0%
Lokomotiv Sofia	1.9%	2.5%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Arda Kardzhali — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A CSKA Sofia	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 3
31 Aug	H Botev Vratsa	W	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	0 - 1

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Spartak Varna	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	A Cherno More Varna	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Ludogorets	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Dunav Ruse	D	2 - 2

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Lokomotiv Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lyuboslav Penev

99 Velichkov

14 Lyaskov

91 Bidounga

3 Kostov

22 Daskalov

31 Stanoev

26 Miloshev

7 Delev

20 Kostadinov

17 Papazov

77 Alves

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Martin Velichkov	G
22	Reyan Daskalov	D
3	Kaloyan Kostov	D
91	Ryan Bidounga	D
14	Angel Lyaskov	D
26	Krasimir Miloshev	M
31	Krasimir Stanoev	M
17	Mark Emilio Papazov	M
20	Dimitar Kostadinov	M
7	Spas Delev	M
77	Caue Caruzo Alves	F

Substitutes

24	Aleksandar Lyubenov	G
6	Eirô	D
42	Nikola Neychev	D
19	Mitko Mitkov	D
44	Bozhidar Katsarov	D
11	Adil Taoui	M
16	Mohamed Medfai	M
5	Erol Dost	M
21	Kristian Chachev	M
71	Nikolas Penev	M
10	Georgi Minchev	F

Arda Kardzhali

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

1 Gospodinov

35 Velkovski

5 Lyubenov

44 Traoré

21 Velev

8 Yankov

80 Kotev

99 Karagaren

91 Ivanov

10 Kovachev

16 Bachev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anatoli Gospodinov	G
21	Vyacheslav Velev	D
44	Adama Ardile Traoré	D
5	Viktor Lyubenov	D
35	Dimitar Velkovski	D
80	Lachezar Kotev	M
8	Dominik Yankov	M
10	Svetoslav Kovachev	M
91	Stanislav Ivanov	M
99	Birsent Karagaren	M
16	Preslav Bachev	F

Substitutes

4	Idowu David Akintola	M
22	Yanko Georgiev	G
24	Martin Paskalev	D
6	Viktor Popov	D
18	Simeon Vasilev	D
26	Burak Akandzha	M
11	Atanas Kabov	M
9	Georgi Nikolov	F