Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 4

10 Aug 2026, 18:15

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Botev Plovdiv

Home

18:15

10 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna

Away

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv

AI call Spartak Varna or draw

31%

38%

Home Win · 1.60 Draw · 4.00 Away Win · 6.35

Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna prediction: Sportiko gives Botev Plovdiv a 31% chance of winning, Spartak Varna 38% and the draw 31%. Last updated 3 Aug 2026, 06:05.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Botev Plovdiv

WLDLW

Spartak Varna

WWWDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Spartak Varna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	7	3	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Botev Plovdiv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

31%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

31%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	9.6%	7.3%	3.1%	1.0%
1	8.4%	14.7%	8.4%	3.6%	1.2%
2	5.8%	7.5%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.2%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Botev Plovdiv	Draw	Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv	16.7%	3.8%	1.6%
Draw	13.6%	19.8%	13.9%
Spartak Varna	2.1%	5.0%	23.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Botev Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
27 Jul	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 2
21 Jul	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Etar Veliko Tarnovo	L	1 - 2
01 Jul	H Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	W	4 - 0

Spartak Varna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Aug	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	1 - 0
26 Jul	A Cherno More Varna	W	0 - 3
17 Jul	H CSKA 1948	W	2 - 0
08 Jul	H Nesebar	D	1 - 1
19 Mar	H Ludogorets	L	1 - 5

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Ludogorets	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Spartak Varna	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
4	CSKA 1948	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
6	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	0	4
7	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
9	Lokomotiv Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1	2
11	Botev Vratsa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1
13	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	-4	1
14	Dunav Ruse	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.