Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce Prediction
FT
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
AI call
Pogon Szczecin or draw
41%
28%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce prediction: Sportiko gives Pogon Szczecin a 41% chance of winning, Korona Kielce 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 17:31.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Away to Score 72%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Alessandro Pio Riccio
Yellow Card
20'
▮
Yellow Card
21'
▮
Maciej Wojciechowski
Yellow Card
36'
▮
Maciej Wojciechowski
assist: Paul Mukairu
45+1'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⇄
56'
Ondrej Lingr
⇄ M. Remacle
⇄
56'
M. Stępiński
⇄ Daniel Bak
Darko Churlinov
⇄ Kamil Grosicki
73'
⇄
Jordi Sánchez
⇄ Jean-Pierre Nsame
73'
⇄
Jan Biegański
⇄ Kellyn Acosta
83'
⇄
Paul Mukairu
assist: Jean-Pierre Nsame
86'
⚽
2–0
⇄
87'
C. Mena
⇄ D. Błanik
⇄
88'
P. Hellebrand
⇄ M. Faßbender
Benjamin Mendy
⇄ Lukas Willen
90+1'
⇄
Paul Mukairu
90+1'
⇄
FT 2–0
Pogon Szczecin
Match Stats
Korona Kielce
48%
Ball Possession
52%
1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
7
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
8
1
Blocked Shots
6
5
Shots insidebox
12
2
Shots outsidebox
5
2
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
403
Total passes
412
339
Passes accurate
356
6
Free Kicks
21
Pogon Szczecin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Paul Mukairu M | 8.6 | 91' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 (25%) | 1 |
| 35 Maciej Wojciechowski M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 33 (30%) | 2 |
| 13 Dimitrios Keramitsis D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (45%) | 2 |
| 41 Attila Szalai D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (61%) | – |
| 16 Patryk Dziczek M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (43%) | 1 |
| 77 Valentin Cojocaru G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | – |
| 23 Benjamin Mendy D | 7.0 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 32 (23%) | – |
| 6 Jan Biegański M | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 1 |
| 17 Jean-Pierre Nsame F | 6.9 | 17' | – | 1 | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 11 Kamil Grosicki M | 6.9 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 4 Alessandro Pio Riccio D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 3 Kellyn Acosta M | 6.8 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 21 Darko Churlinov M | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 22 Jordi Sánchez F | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
Korona Kielce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 P. Hellebrand M | 7.0 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 51 (49%) | 1 |
| 2 A. Mosór D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 60 (54%) | 1 |
| 23 Slobodan Rubežić D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 55 (47%) | 2 |
| 35 Kamil Jakubczyk M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (36%) | 2 |
| 8 M. Remacle M | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 22 M. Faßbender F | 6.6 | 2' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 M. Pięczek D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (40%) | – |
| 19 Michael Ameyaw M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 71 Wiktor Długosz D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 3 |
| 99 Daniel Bak F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | 2 | 1 | – |
| 14 M. Stępiński F | 6.2 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 7 D. Błanik M | 6.1 | 3' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 30 C. Mena M | 6.1 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 26 (18%) | 2 |
| 1 X. Dziekoński G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
| 32 Ondrej Lingr M | 5.8 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Pogon Szczecin or draw
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Pogon Szczecin
LLWWW
Korona Kielce
LLLWL
Last 1 meetings
Pogon Szczecin · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
30%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Pogon Szczecin
Jordi Sánchez
9 gls
Korona Kielce
M. Stępiński
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
1
Pogon Szczecin Wins
0
Draws
0
Korona Kielce Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 - 1 | Korona Kielce |
Pogon Szczecin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Widzew Łódź | L | 3 - 0 |
| 02 Nov | A Raków Częstochowa | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Radomiak Radom | W | 4 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A GKS Katowice | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | H Korona Kielce | W | 2 - 0 |
Korona Kielce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Radomiak Radom | L | 0 - 2 |
| 02 Nov | A Zaglebie Lubin | L | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A Polonia Warszawa | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H GKS Katowice | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Lech Poznan | L | 6 - 1 |
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 31 |
| 2 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 31 |
| 3 |
Legia Warszawa
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 24 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 |
Wisla Krakow
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |
Piast Gliwice
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 |
GKS Katowice
|
13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 |
Motor Lublin
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |
Korona Kielce
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 |
Wisla Plock
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Widzew Łódź
|
14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |
Radomiak Radom
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |
Wieczysta Kraków
|
14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 8 |
Korona Kielce
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Zielinski
1
Dziekoński
6
Pięczek
2
Mosór
23
Rubežić
71
Długosz
18
Hellebrand
35
Jakubczyk
19
Ameyaw
32
Lingr
30
Mena
14
Stępiński
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | X. Dziekoński | G |
| 71 | W. Długosz | D |
| 23 | S. Rubežić | D |
| 2 | A. Mosór | D |
| 6 | M. Pięczek | D |
| 35 | Kamil Jakubczyk | M |
| 18 | P. Hellebrand | M |
| 30 | C. Mena | M |
| 32 | O. Lingr | M |
| 19 | M. Ameyaw | M |
| 14 | M. Stępiński | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | M. Remacle | M |
| 10 | Nono | M |
| 11 | K. Matuszewski | D |
| 87 | R. Mamla | G |
| 86 | Simon Gustafson | M |
| 22 | M. Faßbender | F |
| 7 | D. Błanik | M |
| 67 | N. Barczak | D |
| 99 | Daniel Bak | F |
| 24 | B. Smolarczyk | D |
| 44 | K. Sotiriou | D |
Pogon Szczecin
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Óscar García
77
Cojocaru
23
Mendy
41
Szalai
13
Keramitsis
4
Riccio
6
Biegański
16
Dziczek
18
Mukairu
35
Wojciechowski
21
Churlinov
22
Sánchez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | V. Cojocaru | G |
| 4 | A. Riccio | D |
| 13 | D. Keramitsis | D |
| 41 | A. Szalai | D |
| 23 | B. Mendy | D |
| 16 | P. Dziczek | M |
| 6 | J. Biegański | M |
| 21 | D. Churlinov | M |
| 35 | M. Wojciechowski | M |
| 18 | P. Mukairu | M |
| 22 | Jordi Sánchez | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | K. Acosta | M |
| 10 | F. Čuić | F |
| 30 | J. Czaplinski | M |
| 98 | M. Dabrowski | G |
| 11 | K. Grosicki | M |
| 47 | N. Lawa | M |
| 17 | J. Nsame | F |
| 75 | A. Ossowski | D |
| 29 | L. Willen | D |
| 9 | R. Molnár | F |
| 20 | Isaiah·Eichie | D |
| 31 | Nikolaos Nestoras Botis | G |