Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Prediction
FT
AI call
Raków Częstochowa or draw
40%
28%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia prediction: Sportiko gives Raków Częstochowa a 40% chance of winning, Jagiellonia 33% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 14:43.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
- Under 3.5 Goals 74%
- Home to Score 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Mahir Emreli
23'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
31'
Jesús Imaz
Penalty
⚽
1–2
37'
Nik Prelec
▮
43'
Eryk Kozłowski
Yellow Card
HT 1–2
⇄ Oskar Repka
46'
⇄
Jean Carlos Silva
⇄ Marko Perović
46'
⇄
⇄
46'
Jesús Imaz
⇄ Sergio Lozano
Karol Struski
Yellow Card
50'
▮
Jakub Jendryka
assist: Wladyslaw Kocherhin
56'
⚽
2–2
Karol Struski
⇄ Oliwier Kwiatkowski
62'
⇄
⇄ Mohamed Lamine Diaby
62'
⇄
⇄
69'
K. Szmyt
⇄ Ousmane Sow
⇄
69'
Eryk Kozłowski
⇄ Hampus Finndell
Fran Tudor
⇄ Arvid Brorsson
71'
⇄
⚽
2–3
76'
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
Penalty
⚽
2–4
78'
Ousmane Sow
assist: Nik Prelec
⇄
87'
Nik Prelec
⇄ Youssuf Sylla
⚽
2–5
89'
Youssuf Sylla
⇄
90'
Rodrigo Conceição
⇄ Kamil Jóźwiak
FT 2–5
Raków Częstochowa
Match Stats
Jagiellonia
45%
Ball Possession
55%
1.15
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
12
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
10
6
Shots off Goal
7
2
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots insidebox
16
1
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
Offsides
9
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
295
Total passes
362
240
Passes accurate
311
81%
Passes %
86%
-0.43
goals_prevented
-0.43
Raków Częstochowa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Wladyslaw Kocherhin M | 7.5 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 31 (24%) | 2 |
| 17 Jakub Jendryka M | 7.5 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 9 Patryk Makuch F | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 11 Mahir Emreli F | 7.3 | 89' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 7 Fran Tudor D | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 6 Oskar Repka M | 7.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 88 Ádin Molnár F | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 14 (8%) | – |
| 77 Didí Gaucho D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 2 |
| 1 Kacper Trelowski G | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 23 Karol Struski M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 36 Marko Perović M | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 80 Mohamed Lamine Diaby M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 25 Bogdan Racovițan D | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 20 Jean Carlos Silva M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 15 Oliwier Kwiatkowski M | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 3 Arvid Brorsson D | 5.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
Jagiellonia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Youssuf Sylla F | 7.7 | 2' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 6 Taras Romanczuk M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | 2 |
| 30 Ousmane Sow F | 7.2 | 20' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 44 A. Konstantopoulos D | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 59 (53%) | 2 |
| 23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D | 7.0 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | 2 |
| 11 Jesús Imaz M | 6.9 | 45' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 21 Sergio Lozano M | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 27 Rodrigo Conceição M | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 99 Nik Prelec F | 6.6 | 87' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 (13%) | – |
| 50 Sławomir Abramowicz G | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 14 Hampus Finndell M | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 15 Norbert Wojtuszek D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | 3 |
| 85 Eryk Kozłowski M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 37 (26%) | 2 |
| 7 K. Szmyt M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 4 | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 4 Yuki Kobayashi D | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Raków Częstochowa or draw
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Raków Częstochowa
LLWLL
Jagiellonia
LLLWL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
33%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Raków Częstochowa
P. Makuch
5 gls
M. Emreli
3 gls
Jagiellonia
N. Prelec
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Raków Częstochowa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Korona Kielce | L | 3 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Zaglebie Lubin | L | 2 - 3 |
| 11 Sep | H Motor Lublin | W | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Lech Poznan | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Gornik Zabrze | L | 1 - 2 |
Jagiellonia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Legia Warszawa | L | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Olympiakos Piraeus | L | 2 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Wisla Krakow | L | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Slask Wroclaw | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Lech Poznan | L | 2 - 1 |
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |
Legia Warszawa
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |
Wisla Krakow
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |
Korona Kielce
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Piast Gliwice
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |
GKS Katowice
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Wisla Plock
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |
Widzew Łódź
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |
Radomiak Radom
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |
Motor Lublin
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |
Wieczysta Kraków
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 3 |
Jagiellonia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
50
Abramowicz
23
Montóia
4
Kobayashi
44
Konstantopoulos
15
Wojtuszek
85
Kozłowski
6
Romanczuk
7
Szmyt
11
Imaz
27
Conceição
99
Prelec
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Sławomir Abramowicz | G |
| 15 | Norbert Wojtuszek | D |
| 44 | Apostolos Konstantopoulos | D |
| 4 | Yuki Kobayashi | D |
| 23 | Guilherme Montóia | D |
| 6 | Taras Romanczuk | M |
| 85 | Eryk Kozłowski | M |
| 27 | Rodrigo Conceição | M |
| 11 | Jesús Imaz | M |
| 7 | Kajetan Szmyt | M |
| 99 | Nik Prelec | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Michał Perchel | G |
| 5 | Bernardo Vital | D |
| 62 | Szymon Pankiewicz | D |
| 19 | Ferslev Anders Klynge | M |
| 14 | Hampus Finndell | M |
| 21 | Sergio Lozano | M |
| 72 | Kamil Jóźwiak | M |
| 2 | Cezary Polak | D |
| 8 | Dawid Drachal | M |
| 30 | Ousmane Sow | F |
| 17 | Youssuf Sylla | F |
| 9 | Dimitris Rallis | F |
Raków Częstochowa
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Dawid Kroczek
1
Trelowski
7
Tudor
25
Racovițan
77
Gaucho
20
Silva
10
Kocherhin
23
Struski
17
Jendryka
88
Molnár
11
Emreli
9
Makuch
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kacper Trelowski | G |
| 77 | Didí Gaucho | D |
| 25 | Bogdan Racovițan | D |
| 7 | Fran Tudor | D |
| 17 | Jakub Jendryka | M |
| 23 | Karol Struski | M |
| 10 | Wladyslaw Kocherhin | M |
| 20 | Jean Carlos Silva | M |
| 9 | Patryk Makuch | F |
| 11 | Mahir Emreli | F |
| 88 | Ádin Molnár | F |
Substitutes
| 71 | Tarik Karić | G |
| 4 | Stratos Svarnas | D |
| 3 | Arvid Brorsson | D |
| 6 | Oskar Repka | M |
| 15 | Oliwier Kwiatkowski | M |
| 21 | Tomasz Pieńko | M |
| 36 | Marko Perović | M |
| 39 | Isak Brusberg | F |
| 2 | Jerzy Napieraj | D |
| 22 | Abraham Emmanuel Ojo | M |
| 80 | Mohamed Lamine Diaby | M |
| 99 | Adam Basse | F |