Mura vs Aluminij Prediction

1. SNL · Regular Season - 9

Post on X

Mura

Home

1 : 6

HT 0 - 3

Aluminij

Away

Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota

AI call Mura or draw

42%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Mura vs Aluminij prediction: Sportiko gives Mura a 42% chance of winning, Aluminij 29% and the draw 29%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 14:54.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Yellow Card

14' ▮

▮ 24'

Yellow Card

Lovro Kitin Yellow Card

32' ▮

⚽ 0–2 34'

Yellow Card

41' ▮

⚽ 0–3 43'

Penalty

HT 0–3

Lovro Kitin

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

51' ▮

⚽ 0–4 53'

56' ⇄

⇄ 59'

⇄ Marko Mladenović

⇄ 59'

63' ⚽ 1–4

63' ⇄

⇄ 67'

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

Florjan Jevsenak

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

⚽ 1–5 86'

⚽ 1–6 89'

Marko Mladenović

FT 1–6

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Mura or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Mura

DLDLL

Aluminij

DWDLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aluminij goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Mura goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

29%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

29%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	6.8%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.7%	13.9%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.0%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.7%	4.4%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mura	Draw	Aluminij
Mura	26.0%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	15.0%	18.0%	11.3%
Aluminij	2.2%	4.4%	16.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mura vs Aluminij

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mura — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Celje	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Aluminij	L	1 - 6
06 Sep	A Maribor	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Bravo	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maribor	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Mura	W	1 - 6
05 Sep	H Bravo	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Celje	L	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

1. SNL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	+11	20
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	+2	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	+2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16	11	+5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	0	12
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	-11	9
10	Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9	18	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.