Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Shkendija

Home

4 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Bashkimi Kumanovo

Away

AI call Difficult Shkendija win or draw

54%

24%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo prediction: Sportiko gives Shkendija a 54% chance of winning, Bashkimi Kumanovo 21% and the draw 24%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 15:51.

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Home or Away 76%
Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Fahd Ndzengue

16' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 42'

45+2' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

▮ 65'

Yellow Card

Fabrice Tamba

71' ⚽ 3–1

Yellow Card

80' ▮

Aleksander Trumci

87' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Shkendija win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Shkendija

WDLWW

Bashkimi Kumanovo

LDWWL

Live insights

88' Goal 85% sure

Shkendija now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Shkendija leads 3-1. Win probability: 98.7%. Comeback chance: 1.3%.

73' Goal 85% sure

Shkendija now leads 3-1 with 98.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 44.8%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Shkendija win: 80.3%. BTTS: 100%.

44' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 36.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bashkimi Kumanovo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	7	11	6	2	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	2
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Shkendija goals · most likely 1–1 (11.2%)

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	3.7%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
1	7.1%	11.2%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
2	8.4%	10.0%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.6%	6.7%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.8%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shkendija	Draw	Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija	30.2%	3.2%	1.2%
Draw	21.3%	14.0%	7.3%
Bashkimi Kumanovo	4.5%	5.3%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Shkendija — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Bashkimi Kumanovo	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Aresimi	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Tikveš	L	1 - 3
28 Aug	A Sileks	W	0 - 2
24 Aug	H Struga	W	2 - 1

Bashkimi Kumanovo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Shkendija	L	4 - 1
12 Sep	H Vardar Skopje	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A BVK Konjari	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	A Skopje	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Shkëndija Haraçinë	L	1 - 2

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	20	8	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	19	5	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	14	8	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	17	7	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	6	9	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	11	13	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	13	10	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	6	19	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	7	25	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.