Vardar Skopje vs Sileks Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 4

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Sileks

Away

AI call Vardar Skopje or draw

38%

30%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Vardar Skopje vs Sileks prediction: Sportiko gives Vardar Skopje a 38% chance of winning, Sileks 32% and the draw 30%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 16:53.

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Away to Score 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
1st Half Home or Draw 72%

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Timeline

3' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 37'

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Yellow Card

61' ▮

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

63' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 67'

69' ⚽ 3–1

79' ⇄

▮ 82'

Yellow Card

83' ⇄

88' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Vardar Skopje or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Vardar Skopje

WDWWD

Sileks

DDLLL

Last 1 meetings Vardar Skopje · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming First League match, Vardar Skopje faces Sileks. Vardar has demonstrated strong form, with a notable scoring average of 2.1 goals per game in the last five matches, coupled with a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Sileks, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match in the same period. This matchup will likely hinge on Vardar's ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths against Sileks' defense. If Vardar maintains their current form, they are favored to secure a victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sileks goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	14	10	5	2
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	4	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Vardar Skopje goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	13.8%	10.5%	4.8%	1.6%
1	7.7%	14.3%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	3.8%	5.2%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%
3	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

78%

1.5

22%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Vardar Skopje	Draw	Sileks
Vardar Skopje	12.3%	4.7%	2.7%
Draw	8.7%	21.5%	22.5%
Sileks	0.8%	3.0%	23.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Vardar Skopje vs Sileks

1 Vardar Skopje Wins

0 Draws

0 Sileks Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Mar 2026	Sileks	0 - 1	Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Shkëndija Haraçinë	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Bashkimi Kumanovo	D	3 - 3
07 Sep	H Aresimi	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Ovce Pole	W	0 - 5
31 Aug	A Tikveš	D	1 - 1

Sileks — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Tikveš	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Bregalnica Štip	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Struga	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Shkendija	L	0 - 2
24 Aug	A Vardar Skopje	L	4 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	20	8	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	19	5	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	14	8	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	17	7	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	6	9	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	11	13	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	13	10	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	6	19	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	7	25	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.