Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Velež Prediction

Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 6

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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Home

3 : 1

HT 2 - 0

Velež

Away

Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo

AI call Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw

41%

32%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Velež prediction: Sportiko gives Zeljeznicar Sarajevo a 41% chance of winning, Velež 27% and the draw 32%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 17:25.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Home to Score 72%
1st Half Draw or Away 70%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

7' ▮

20' ⚽ 1–0

28' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

46' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 59'

63' ⇄

68' ⇄

77' ⇄

⇄ 80'

⇄ 84'

86' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

DDWWL

Velež

LWLDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Velež goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

32%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

32%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	8.6%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.6%	14.8%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.5%	8.4%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
3	3.6%	3.6%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	Draw	Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	23.6%	4.5%	1.7%
Draw	17.1%	21.4%	13.1%
Velež	1.8%	3.7%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Velež

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Čelik	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Sloga Doboj	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H FK Sarajevo	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Velež	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Borac Banja Luka	L	2 - 0

Velež — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Zrinjski	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H FK Sarajevo	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L	3 - 1
02 Sep	H Radnik Bijeljina	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Čelik	L	3 - 0

Premijer Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	17	5	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15	7	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6	5	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	3	3	2	10	9	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	8	2	3	3	10	11	-1	9
6	Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5	8	-3	9
7	Čelik	8	2	2	4	11	12	-1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12	14	-2	8
9	Velež	8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12	19	-7	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.