Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti Prediction

Liga I · Regular Season - 4

09 Aug 2026, 18:30

Post on X

Arges Pitesti

Away

AI call Difficult Universitatea Craiova win or draw

53%

28%

20%

Home Win · 1.65 Draw · 3.85 Away Win · 5.75

Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti prediction: Sportiko gives Universitatea Craiova a 53% chance of winning, Arges Pitesti 20% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Universitatea Craiova

DWDLL

Arges Pitesti

WWWLW

Last 1 meetings Universitatea Craiova · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga I match, Universitatea Craiova will face Arges Pitesti. Craiova has demonstrated a solid home record, finishing the previous season in the upper half of the table with a strong attack, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Conversely, Arges Pitesti struggled with consistency away from home, often conceding early goals and averaging 1.2 goals per match. Given Craiova's offensive prowess and defensive stability, they will likely seek to control possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. It will be crucial for Arges to tighten their defense to stand a chance against a motivated Craiova side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arges Pitesti goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	5	2	1
1	8	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ Universitatea Craiova goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Universitatea Craiova

Ș. Baiaram 1 gls

S. Nsimba 1 gls

Arges Pitesti

R. Moldoveanu 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.3%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.1%	13.5%	7.4%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.4%	9.2%	5.7%	2.4%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.7%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.4%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Universitatea Craiova	Draw	Arges Pitesti
Universitatea Craiova	26.5%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	14.7%	17.2%	10.9%
Arges Pitesti	2.3%	4.5%	17.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti

0 Universitatea Craiova Wins

0 Draws

1 Arges Pitesti Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Mar 2026	Universitatea Craiova	0 - 1	Arges Pitesti

Universitatea Craiova — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A KuPS	D	1 - 1
01 Aug	H Petrolul Ploiesti	W	4 - 0
29 Jul	H Levski Sofia	D	2 - 2
25 Jul	A Dinamo Bucuresti	L	5 - 1
22 Jul	A Levski Sofia	L	1 - 0

Arges Pitesti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Csikszereda	W	1 - 0
24 Jul	H Petrolul Ploiesti	W	1 - 0
29 Jun	H Vllaznia Shkodër	W	5 - 2
21 Mar	H Universitatea Cluj	L	0 - 1
13 Mar	A Universitatea Craiova	W	0 - 1

Liga I Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid	4	2	2	0	5	2	+3	8
2	FCSB	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
3	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	0	1	9	5	+4	6
4	Universitatea Cluj	3	2	0	1	4	3	+1	6
5	Arges Pitesti	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	6
6	Oţelul	3	1	2	0	5	4	+1	5
7	Dinamo Bucuresti	3	1	1	1	6	3	+3	4
8	Farul Constanta	3	1	1	1	5	4	+1	4
9	Corvinul Hunedoara	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
10	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
11	FC Voluntari	3	1	1	1	3	7	-4	4
12	CFR 1907 Cluj	3	1	0	2	7	5	+2	3
13	Petrolul Ploiesti	3	1	0	2	1	5	-4	3
14	FC Botosani	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2
15	Uta Arad	4	0	2	2	2	7	-5	2
16	Csikszereda	3	0	0	3	0	6	-6	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.