SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge Prediction

Challenge League · Regular Season - 9

Post on X

SC Kriens

Home

4 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Étoile Carouge

Away

Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens

AI call Too close to call

38%

26%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge prediction: Sportiko gives SC Kriens a 38% chance of winning, Étoile Carouge 36% and the draw 26%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 19:24.

Timeline

1' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 17'

Penalty

21' ⚽ 2–1

Yellow Card

23' ▮

▮ 23'

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 2–1

⇄ 46'

▮ 56'

Yellow Card

Malek Ishuayed Penalty

58' ⚽ 3–1

Yellow Card

59' ▮

⇄ 60'

71' ⇄

Malek Ishuayed

79' ⇄

⇄ 82'

85' ⇄

90+3' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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SC Kriens

WDLDW

Étoile Carouge

LLDLW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

SC Kriens now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: SC Kriens leads 3-1. Win probability: 98.2%. Comeback chance: 1.8%.

58' Goal 85% sure

SC Kriens now leads 3-1 with 93.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 67.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-1. SC Kriens leads. Win probability: 70.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.8%.

22' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. SC Kriens win: 66.6%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Étoile Carouge goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	5	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	5	9	7	4	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ SC Kriens goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 36% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	4.8%	4.9%	2.6%	1.1%
1	5.1%	11.6%	8.2%	4.4%	1.8%
2	5.4%	8.6%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.0%	4.8%	3.8%	2.0%	0.8%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Kriens	Draw	Étoile Carouge
SC Kriens	23.6%	4.4%	2.1%
Draw	13.0%	14.6%	11.1%
Étoile Carouge	2.8%	5.2%	23.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SC Kriens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Étoile Carouge	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	A FC Aarau	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	0 - 2
01 Sep	A Rapperswil	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Stade Nyonnais	W	3 - 0

Étoile Carouge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SC Kriens	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	H FC Winterthur	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Rapperswil	W	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.