FC Aarau vs Rapperswil Prediction

Challenge League · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

FC Aarau

Home

3 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Rapperswil

Away

AI call Difficult FC Aarau win or draw

57%

23%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil prediction: Sportiko gives FC Aarau a 57% chance of winning, Rapperswil 20% and the draw 23%. Last updated 4 Sep 2026, 19:29.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 20'

Noa Mupemba

Yellow Card

31' ▮

⇄ 42'

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

53' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 56'

⇄ 61'

Own Goal

63' ⚽ 2–2

68' ⇄

▮ 74'

Yellow Card

74' ⇄

▮ 76'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

Noa Mupemba

⇄ 78'

⇄ 79'

▮ 81'

Yellow Card

▮ 84'

Yellow Card

84' ⇄

87' ⚽ 3–2

FT 3–2

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult FC Aarau win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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FC Aarau

LDWDW

Rapperswil

WWLDL

Last 1 meetings FC Aarau · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rapperswil goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	9	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	7	3	1
4	3	3	2
5	1	1	1

↑ FC Aarau goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

23%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

23%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	4.0%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	9.4%	11.8%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.4%	10.1%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.7%	6.5%	3.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	3.3%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Aarau	Draw	Rapperswil
FC Aarau	39.5%	4.5%	1.6%
Draw	18.0%	14.9%	7.7%
Rapperswil	2.2%	3.2%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Aarau vs Rapperswil

1 FC Aarau Wins

0 Draws

0 Rapperswil Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Feb 2026	FC Aarau	5 - 3	Rapperswil

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Rapperswil	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A FC WIL 1900	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	2 - 1

Rapperswil — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	0 - 3
11 Sep	H Yverdon Sport	W	2 - 0
04 Sep	A FC Aarau	L	3 - 2
01 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Étoile Carouge	L	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.