FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction

Challenge League Challenge League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
AI call FC Aarau to win
63%
21%
15%
Home Win · 1.45 Draw · 5.00 Away Win · 6.50

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais prediction: Sportiko gives FC Aarau a 63% chance of winning, Stade Nyonnais 15% and the draw 21%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 20:12.

Premium picks

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

2'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
8'
24'
36'
Yellow Card
36' 1–0
40'
Yellow Card
HT 1–0
52'
58'
58'
72'
72'
75'
76' 2–0
76'
2–1 89'
Penalty
90'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
90+1'
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+1'
90+1'
FT 2–1
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Our lean
FC Aarau to win
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FC Aarau
WDLLW
Stade Nyonnais
LLLDW

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! FC Aarau win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: FC Aarau leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

77' Goal 85% sure

FC Aarau now leads 2-0 with 99.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 29%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FC Aarau leads 1-0. Win probability: 91.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. FC Aarau leads. Win probability: 86.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug H Stade Nyonnais W 2 - 1
01 Aug H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy D 1 - 1
24 Jul A Étoile Carouge L 3 - 0
10 Jul A Austria Lustenau L 1 - 0
21 Mar H Neuchatel Xamax FC W 1 - 0

Stade Nyonnais — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug A FC Aarau L 2 - 1
31 Jul H Rapperswil L 1 - 2
24 Jul A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy L 2 - 0
11 Jul A Bulle D 4 - 4
20 Mar H Rapperswil W 2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Neuchatel Xamax FC
3 3 0 0 +3 9
2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3 2 1 0 +4 7
3
Yverdon Sport
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
FC Winterthur
3 1 1 1 +3 4
5
Étoile Carouge
3 1 1 1 +2 4
6
FC Aarau
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
SC Kriens
3 1 0 2 -1 3
8
Rapperswil
3 1 0 2 -2 3
9
FC WIL 1900
3 1 0 2 -5 3
10
Stade Nyonnais
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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