NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction

HNL · Regular Season - 16

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

HNK Gorica

Away

AI call NK Varazdin to win or draw

73%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica prediction: Sportiko gives NK Varazdin a 73% chance of winning, HNK Gorica 7% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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75% 74% 70% 70%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.6%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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NK Varazdin

DDWDW

HNK Gorica

WDWLD

Last 2 meetings NK Varazdin · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming HNL match, NK Varazdin will face HNK Gorica. NK Varazdin has shown a solid home record this season, with a notable performance in defense, conceding only 12 goals in their last 10 matches. HNK Gorica, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a poor away record, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. The matchup will likely hinge on Varazdin's ability to capitalize on their defensive solidity against Gorica's inconsistent attacking form. Overall, Varazdin appears to hold the upper hand based on recent performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Gorica goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	15	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	12	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ NK Varazdin goals · most likely 2–0 (16.6%)

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Players in form

NK Varazdin

I. Canjuga 3 gls

L. Mamić 3 gls

A. Latković 2 gls

HNK Gorica

B. Bogojević 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	2.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.6%	9.0%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%
2	16.6%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.7%	6.0%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
4	6.2%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NK Varazdin	Draw	HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin	51.3%	2.3%	0.4%
Draw	21.8%	13.4%	3.0%
HNK Gorica	1.9%	2.3%	3.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

60%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica

0 NK Varazdin Wins

1 Draws

1 HNK Gorica Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Sep 2026	HNK Gorica	2 - 2	NK Varazdin
04 Mar 2026	NK Varazdin	1 - 2	HNK Gorica

NK Varazdin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H NK Osijek	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	A HNK Gorica	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Zagora	W	0 - 4
04 Sep	H Istra 1961	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Rudes	W	2 - 0

HNK Gorica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Istra 1961	W	0 - 1
14 Sep	H NK Varazdin	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Uskok Klis	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Dinamo Zagreb	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H HNK Rijeka	D	0 - 0

HNL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	5	1	1	17	9	+8	16
2	HNK Hajduk Split	8	5	1	2	16	8	+8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	5	1	2	17	11	+6	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13	7	+6	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13	7	+6	14
6	Istra 1961	8	2	3	3	14	13	+1	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11	16	-5	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7	16	-9	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	1	2	5	5	12	-7	5
10	Rudes	8	1	1	6	10	24	-14	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.