Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Prediction

HNL HNL · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
AI call Difficult Istra 1961 win or draw
51%
27%
22%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica prediction: Sportiko gives Istra 1961 a 51% chance of winning, HNK Gorica 22% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 20:05.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

Daouda Doumbia Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
HT 0–0
Daouda Doumbia ⇄ Gustavo Albarracín
72' ⇄
Nik Škafar Žužić ⇄ Stipe Ukich
72' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Bruno Bogojević ⇄ Jakov Pranjic
⇄ 74'
Gonçalo Costa ⇄ Ivan Cvijanović
Stipe Ukich Yellow Card
79' ▮
⇄ 81'
F. Brodić ⇄ Domagoj Pavičić
Rene Hrvatin ⇄ Advan Kadušić
84' ⇄
Antonio Maurić ⇄ Matija Kablar
84' ⇄
⇄ 90+2'
Juraj Frigan ⇄ Ognjen Bakić
⇄ 90+2'
Jakov Filipović ⇄ Stefan Perić
Samuli Miettinen ⇄ Mohamed Nasraoui
90+5' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 90+6'
Jakov Pranjic assist: Domagoj Pavičić
▮ 90+11'
Ivan Cvijanović Yellow Card
▮ 90+12'
Luka Vrzić Yellow Card
Isaac Yellow Card
90+12' ▮
FT 0–1
Istra 1961

Match Stats

HNK Gorica
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.21 Expected Goals (xG) 0.47
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 10
443 Total passes 429
366 Passes accurate 349
83% Passes % 81%
2.27 goals_prevented 2.27
Istra 1961
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Nik Škafar Žužić M 7.6 72' – – – 19 (14%) 1
13 Niko Šepić D 7.6 104' – – 3 55 (50%) 3
9 Isaac F 7.3 104' – – 2 23 (18%) 1
22 Emil Frederiksen M 7.3 104' – – 2 32 (22%) –
8 Antonio Maurić M 7.2 84' – – 1 46 (39%) 1
4 Raul Kumar D 7.2 104' – – 3 64 (54%) 2
1 Franko Kolić G 6.9 104' – – – 32 (25%) –
44 Rene Hrvatin D 6.9 84' – – 1 16 (12%) 3
16 Samuli Miettinen D 6.7 95' – – 1 50 (42%) 2
25 Gustavo Albarracín M 6.6 32' – – – 10 (8%) 1
97 Advan Kadušić D 6.6 20' – – – 10 (9%) 1
34 Matija Kablar M 6.5 20' – – – 11 (8%) –
20 Dukan Ahmeti M 6.3 104' – – 2 33 (27%) –
23 Stipe Ukich M 6.3 32' – – 1 8 (8%) –
88 Daouda Doumbia M 6.3 72' – – 1 30 (26%) 1
3 Mohamed Nasraoui D 6.2 9' – – – 4 (4%) –
HNK Gorica
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Renato Josipović G 9.2 104' – – – 39 (29%) –
8 Jakov Pranjic F 7.7 30' 1 – 1 6 (5%) 1
15 Dušan Stevanović D 7.6 104' – – – 62 (52%) 3
6 Tom Lacoux M 7.2 104' – – – 43 (40%) 2
2 Filip Braut D 6.9 104' – – – 60 (50%) 3
32 Jakov Filipović D 6.9 92' – – – 62 (58%) 1
25 Bruno Bogojević M 6.9 74' – – 1 17 (15%) 1
24 Domagoj Pavičić M 6.9 23' – 1 – 6 (6%) –
5 Gonçalo Costa D 6.7 74' – – – 30 (19%) 1
45 Stefan Perić D 6.7 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
66 Juraj Frigan M 6.6 92' – – – 40 (29%) 2
20 Luka Vrzić M 6.6 104' – – 2 26 (18%) –
10 F. Brodić M 6.5 81' – – 2 13 (11%) 1
34 Ivan Cvijanović D 6.3 30' – – – 7 (7%) –
7 Ognjen Bakić M 6.3 12' – – – 5 (1%) –
9 Patrik Mijić F 5.9 104' – – 2 11 (7%) –
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Istra 1961 win or draw
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Istra 1961
LWWDD
HNK Gorica
WDWLD

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 0-1! HNK Gorica win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 66.4%. Late goal chance: 37.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 74.4%. Over 1.5 remaining: 43.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Istra 1961
E. Frederiksen 7 gls
H. Jaganjac 4 gls
D. Ahmeti 2 gls
HNK Gorica
B. Bogojević 3 gls

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Head to Head: Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Istra 1961 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H HNK Gorica L 0 - 1
13 Sep H Rudes W 3 - 2
08 Sep A Zagorec W 0 - 5
04 Sep A NK Varazdin D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Dinamo Zagreb D 2 - 2

HNK Gorica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Istra 1961 W 0 - 1
14 Sep H NK Varazdin D 2 - 2
09 Sep A Uskok Klis W 1 - 3
05 Sep A Dinamo Zagreb L 1 - 0
31 Aug H HNK Rijeka D 0 - 0

HNL Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dinamo Zagreb
7 5 1 1 +8 16
2
HNK Hajduk Split
8 5 1 2 +8 16
3
NK Osijek
8 5 1 2 +6 16
4
NK Varazdin
8 4 3 1 +6 15
5
HNK Rijeka
7 4 2 1 +6 14
6
Istra 1961
8 2 3 3 +1 9
7
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8 2 1 5 -5 7
8
NK Slaven Belupo
8 2 1 5 -9 7
9
HNK Gorica
8 1 2 5 -7 5
10
Rudes
8 1 1 6 -14 4

Istra 1961

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Javi Cabello
1 Kolić
13 Šepić
16 Miettinen
4 Kumar
44 Hrvatin
8 Maurić
88 Doumbia
30 Žužić
20 Ahmeti
22 Frederiksen
9 Isaac

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Franko Kolić G
44 Rene Hrvatin D
4 Raul Kumar D
16 Samuli Miettinen D
13 Niko Šepić D
88 Daouda Doumbia M
8 Antonio Maurić M
22 Emil Frederiksen M
20 Dukan Ahmeti M
30 Nik Škafar Žužić M
9 Isaac F

Substitutes

23 Stipe Ukich M
25 Gustavo Albarracín M
40 Jan Paus-Kunšt G
3 Mohamed Nasraoui D
66 Mutari Momoh D
97 Advan Kadušić D
25 Demirel Hodžić M
34 Matija Kablar M
11 Silvio Goričan F
27 Dominik Celija F
39 Toni Brajković F

HNK Gorica

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mario Carevic
1 Josipović
5 Costa
15 Stevanović
32 Filipović
2 Braut
6 Lacoux
66 Frigan
20 Vrzić
9 Mijić
25 Bogojević
10 Brodić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Renato Josipović G
2 Filip Braut D
32 Jakov Filipović D
15 Dušan Stevanović D
5 Gonçalo Costa D
66 Juraj Frigan M
6 Tom Lacoux M
25 Bruno Bogojević M
9 Patrik Mijić F
20 Luka Vrzić M
10 Fran Brodić M

Substitutes

34 Ivan Cvijanović D
8 Jakov Pranjić F
30 Darijan Žarkov G
71 Davor Matijaš G
45 Stefan Perić D
4 Kevin Čustović M
7 Ognjen Bakić M
24 Domagoj Pavičić M
26 Keenan Carole F
67 Tomislav Prgomet M
18 Bartol Kardum F
50 Ante Erceg F

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