HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 Prediction
Stadion Poljud, Split
AI call
Difficult HNK Hajduk Split win or draw
63%
23%
14%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 prediction: Sportiko gives HNK Hajduk Split a 63% chance of winning, Istra 1961 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 20:54.
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Timeline
Rokas Pukštas
assist: Šimun Hrgović
15'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
42'
Emil Frederiksen
HT 1–1
▮
48'
Daouda Doumbia
Yellow Card
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
⇄ Anđelo Šutalo
56'
⇄
Michele Šego
⇄ Marko Livaja
56'
⇄
Luka Hodak
⇄ Dalisson de Almeida
56'
⇄
⇄
56'
Daouda Doumbia
⇄ Antonio Maurić
Marin Šotiček
Yellow Card
60'
▮
▮
64'
Samuli Miettinen
Yellow Card
⇄
67'
Ivan Šaranić
⇄ Dukan Ahmeti
⇄
67'
Nik Škafar Žužić
⇄ Vinko Rozić
⇄
80'
Rene Hrvatin
⇄ Advan Kadušić
Niko Sigur
⇄ Mathieu Acapandié
80'
⇄
⇄
80'
Gustavo Albarracín
⇄ Matija Kablar
Marko Livaja
84'
⚽
2–1
Marin Šotiček
⇄ Dario Melnjak
87'
⇄
▮
90+1'
Yellow Card
⚽
2–2
90+5'
Dukan Ahmeti
assist: Hamza Jaganjac
Anđelo Šutalo
Yellow Card
90+7'
▮
FT 2–2
HNK Hajduk Split
Match Stats
Istra 1961
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
17
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
1
11
Shots insidebox
5
6
Shots outsidebox
2
6
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
526
Total passes
321
460
Passes accurate
264
87%
Passes %
82%
0.45
goals_prevented
0.45
HNK Hajduk Split
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Rokas Pukštas M | 7.9 | 95' | 1 | – | 4 | 31 (24%) | 2 |
| 7 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba F | 7.5 | 56' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | 4 |
| 32 Šimun Hrgović D | 7.3 | 95' | – | 1 | 2 | 42 (37%) | 3 |
| 8 Niko Sigur M | 7.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 3 |
| 4 Adrion Pajaziti M | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 70 (66%) | 3 |
| 10 Marko Livaja F | 7.2 | 39' | 1 | – | 3 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 15 Dario Marešić D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 96 (89%) | – |
| 23 Marin Šotiček F | 7.0 | 87' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 5 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 72 (65%) | 3 |
| 38 Luka Hodak D | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | – | 52 (48%) | 3 |
| 17 Dario Melnjak D | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Dalisson de Almeida M | 6.6 | 39' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 16 Anđelo Šutalo M | 6.6 | 39' | – | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 11 Michele Šego F | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 22 Mathieu Acapandié D | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 33 Toni Silić G | 5.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
Istra 1961
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Franko Kolić G | 8.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 22 Emil Frederiksen M | 7.2 | 95' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 16 Samuli Miettinen D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 49 (43%) | 1 |
| 7 Vinko Rozić F | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 3 Mohamed Nasraoui D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | 1 |
| 80 Ivan Šaranić M | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 2 |
| 8 Antonio Maurić M | 6.6 | 39' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 44 Rene Hrvatin D | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 24 (15%) | 3 |
| 97 Advan Kadušić D | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 88 Daouda Doumbia M | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 34 Matija Kablar M | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 25 Gustavo Albarracín M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 1 |
| 94 Hamza Jaganjac F | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | 3 |
| 30 Nik Škafar Žužić M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 20 Dukan Ahmeti M | 6.2 | 28' | 1 | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 13 Niko Šepić D | 6.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult HNK Hajduk Split win or draw
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HNK Hajduk Split
LWWWW
Istra 1961
LWWDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
HNK Hajduk Split
M. Šego
4 gls
M. Livaja
3 gls
M. Šotiček
2 gls
Istra 1961
E. Frederiksen
7 gls
H. Jaganjac
4 gls
D. Ahmeti
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A HNK Rijeka | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H NK Slaven Belupo | W | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Vardarac | W | 0 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Rudes | W | 0 - 4 |
| 31 Aug | H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | W | 2 - 0 |
Istra 1961 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H HNK Gorica | L | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Rudes | W | 3 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Zagorec | W | 0 - 5 |
| 04 Sep | A NK Varazdin | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Dinamo Zagreb | D | 2 - 2 |
HNL Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |
NK Osijek
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |
NK Varazdin
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |
HNK Rijeka
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |
Istra 1961
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 |
NK Slaven Belupo
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 |
HNK Gorica
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 10 |
Rudes
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
HNK Hajduk Split
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
33
Silić
32
Hrgović
5
Hoorenbeeck
15
Marešić
38
Hodak
4
Pajaziti
8
Sigur
23
Šotiček
21
Pukštas
7
Bamba
11
Šego
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Toni Silić | G |
| 38 | Luka Hodak | D |
| 15 | Dario Marešić | D |
| 5 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | D |
| 32 | Šimun Hrgović | D |
| 8 | Niko Sigur | M |
| 4 | Adrion Pajaziti | M |
| 7 | Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | F |
| 21 | Rokas Pukštas | M |
| 23 | Marin Šotiček | F |
| 11 | Michele Šego | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Dalisson de Almeida | M |
| 16 | Anđelo Šutalo | M |
| 10 | Marko Livaja | F |
| 44 | Dante Stipica | G |
| 99 | Davyd Fesyuk | G |
| 3 | Roko Gabrić | D |
| 14 | Ron Raçi | D |
| 17 | Dario Melnjak | D |
| 22 | Mathieu Acapandié | D |
| 19 | Etnik Brruti | M |
| 20 | Alberto del Moral | M |
| 26 | Adam Huram | M |
Istra 1961
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Javi Cabello
1
Kolić
13
Šepić
16
Miettinen
3
Nasraoui
44
Hrvatin
25
Albarracín
88
Doumbia
30
Žužić
80
Šaranić
22
Frederiksen
94
Jaganjac
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franko Kolić | G |
| 44 | Rene Hrvatin | D |
| 3 | Mohamed Nasraoui | D |
| 16 | Samuli Miettinen | D |
| 13 | Niko Šepić | D |
| 88 | Daouda Doumbia | M |
| 25 | Gustavo Albarracín | M |
| 22 | Emil Frederiksen | M |
| 80 | Ivan Šaranić | M |
| 30 | Nik Škafar Žužić | M |
| 94 | Hamza Jaganjac | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | Antonio Maurić | M |
| 7 | Vinko Rozić | F |
| 20 | Dukan Ahmeti | M |
| 40 | Jan Paus-Kunšt | G |
| 38 | Raul Kumar | D |
| 24 | Filip Taraba | D |
| 66 | Mutari Momoh | D |
| 97 | Advan Kadušić | D |
| 23 | Stipe Ukich | M |
| 34 | Matija Kablar | M |
| 18 | Saydou Bangura | F |
| 27 | Dominik Celija | F |