Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Keflavik

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Valur Reykjavik

Away

AI call Keflavik or draw

49%

24%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik prediction: Sportiko gives Keflavik a 49% chance of winning, Valur Reykjavik 27% and the draw 24%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 18:23.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

⇄ 20'

Jakob Franz Pálsson ⇄ Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole

▮ 29'

Samúel Kári Friðjónsson Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 36'

Jónatan Ingi Jónsson assist: Dagur Orri Gardarson

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 52'

Dagur Orri Gardarson assist: Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

⇄ Myles Veldman

69' ⚽ 1–2

79' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Dagur Orri Gardarson

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Keflavik or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Keflavik

DLLLW

Valur Reykjavik

DWWDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valur Reykjavik goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Keflavik goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

27%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

27%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	3.9%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.0%	11.6%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.2%	10.1%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.0%	6.6%	3.6%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.9%	3.2%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Keflavik	Draw	Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik	37.9%	4.6%	1.7%
Draw	16.7%	14.5%	8.1%
Valur Reykjavik	2.4%	3.6%	10.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Keflavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Fram Reykjavik	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Valur Reykjavik	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	1 - 0

Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Keflavik	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 0

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.