Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

Stjarnan

Home

4 : 2

HT 3 - 0

Thor Akureyri

Away

AI call Difficult Stjarnan win or draw

63%

20%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri prediction: Sportiko gives Stjarnan a 63% chance of winning, Thor Akureyri 17% and the draw 20%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 18:55.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

assist: Birnir Snaer Ingason

6' ⚽ 1–0

Emil Atlason

41' ⚽ 2–0

Birnir Snaer Ingason Yellow Card

43' ▮

Birnir Snaer Ingason assist: Emil Atlason

45' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 56'

Own Goal

61' ⚽ 4–0

63' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Birnir Snaer Ingason

71' ⇄

Yellow Card

72' ▮

⚽ 4–1 72'

▮ 74'

Yellow Card

Emil Atlason

78' ⇄

⇄ 83'

⇄ Thorri Ingólfsson

⚽ 4–2 89'

FT 4–2

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Stjarnan win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Stjarnan

LWDWW

Thor Akureyri

LLWWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Thor Akureyri goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Stjarnan goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

20%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

20%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	4.2%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.2%	11.9%	4.8%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.0%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.0%	6.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.3%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stjarnan	Draw	Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan	39.8%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.2%	15.3%	6.8%
Thor Akureyri	2.3%	3.5%	8.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Stjarnan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	5 - 2
13 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Breidablik	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 2

Thor Akureyri — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A KA Akureyri	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	A Valur Reykjavik	L	4 - 1
06 Sep	H FH hafnarfjordur	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Stjarnan	L	4 - 2

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.