Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Regular Season - 18

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Breidablik

Home

1 : 3

HT 0 - 1

Valur Reykjavik

Away

AI call Difficult Breidablik win or draw

63%

21%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik prediction: Sportiko gives Breidablik a 63% chance of winning, Valur Reykjavik 16% and the draw 21%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 22:04.

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Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 39'

Dagur Orri Gardarson assist: Jónatan Ingi Jónsson

HT 0–1

54' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 56'

Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson Yellow Card

60' ⇄

⇄ 60'

⇄ Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole

60' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Birkir Heimisson ⇄ Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson

⇄ 68'

Dagur Orri Gardarson ⇄ Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson

Yellow Card

71' ▮

▮ 72'

Samúel Kári Friðjónsson Yellow Card

▮ 72'

Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson Yellow Card

Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson

73' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 78'

Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson assist: Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson

Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson Yellow Card

81' ▮

85' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Lúkas Logi Heimisson ⇄ Jakob Franz Pálsson

⚽ 1–3 89'

Jónatan Ingi Jónsson assist: Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson

FT 1–3

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Breidablik win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Breidablik

LWWLL

Valur Reykjavik

DWWDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valur Reykjavik goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	1
1	13	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Breidablik goals · most likely 2–0 (14.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

21%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

21%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	3.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
1	13.0%	9.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.8%	9.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	10.4%	6.4%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	5.5%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Breidablik	Draw	Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik	45.7%	2.4%	0.5%
Draw	23.4%	13.7%	3.6%
Valur Reykjavik	2.6%	3.1%	5.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Breidablik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IA Akranes	L	4 - 1
15 Sep	A Fram Reykjavik	W	1 - 3
11 Sep	A Afturelding	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A KA Akureyri	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Stjarnan	L	0 - 2

Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Keflavik	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 0

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.