Penafiel vs Feirense Prediction

Segunda Liga Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
AI call Penafiel or draw
46%
30%
24%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Penafiel vs Feirense prediction: Sportiko gives Penafiel a 46% chance of winning, Feirense 24% and the draw 30%. Last updated 2 Nov 2026, 19:57.

Premium picks

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 9'
Yellow Card
⇄ 19'
▮ 28'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
29' ▮
Iano Imbene Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 0–0
Yellow Card
48' ▮
54' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 59'
59' ⇄
Yellow Card
61' ▮
▮ 68'
Yellow Card
⇄ 71'
Luís Pinto
⇄ 71'
71' ⇄
71' ⇄
▮ 78'
Yellow Card
⇄ Claudio Mendes
90+1' ⇄
90+1' ⇄
FT 1–0
Penafiel

Match Stats

Feirense
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 0
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
0 Free Kicks 0
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
Penafiel or draw
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Penafiel
WWWLL
Feirense
WLDLL
Last 1 meetings Penafiel · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Penafiel leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.8%.

55' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Penafiel win: 81.1%. BTTS: 32%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 69.2%. Over 1.5 remaining: 36%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Penafiel

No scorer data.

Feirense
J. Monteiro 1 gls

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Head to Head: Penafiel vs Feirense

0 Penafiel Wins
0 Draws
1 Feirense Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Feirense 1 - 0 Penafiel

Penafiel — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Chaves W 2 - 3
02 Nov H Feirense W 1 - 0
24 Oct A Farense W 1 - 4
17 Oct H Leça L 0 - 1
09 Oct H AVS L 1 - 2

Feirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Lusitânia Lourosa W 1 - 0
02 Nov A Penafiel L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Benfica B D 0 - 0
11 Oct A Farense L 2 - 1
19 Sep A Salgueiros L 1 - 0

Segunda Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Penafiel
10 7 1 2 +12 22
2
Sporting CP B
9 7 0 2 +8 21
3
Lusitânia Lourosa
9 5 4 0 +7 19
4
Benfica B
9 5 2 2 +5 17
5
Academica
10 5 1 4 +3 16
6
Farense
9 4 3 2 +4 15
7
Tondela
9 5 0 4 +2 15
8
Vizela
10 4 3 3 +1 15
9
União de Leiria
9 4 2 3 +2 14
10
AVS
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Leixoes
10 3 2 5 -4 11
12
Portimonense
9 3 2 4 -4 11
13
Torreense
9 2 4 3 -2 10
14
Amarante
10 2 3 5 -4 9
15
Felgueiras 1932
10 1 5 4 -3 8
16
FC Porto B
9 2 2 5 -9 8
17
Chaves
10 2 2 6 -10 8
18
Feirense
9 0 2 7 -9 2

Feirense

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Rui Ferreira
26 Altube
15 Moreno
40 Queirós
14 Pinto
4 Leal
20 Oliveira
25 Pereira
90 Luisinho
6 Mendes
23 Henrique
9 Monteiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Diego Altube G
20 João Oliveira D
4 Antonio Leal D
14 Pedro Pinto D
40 João Queirós D
15 Diego Moreno D
23 Pedro Henrique F
6 Diogo Mendes M
90 Luisinho M
25 Henrique Pereira F
9 J. Monteiro F

Substitutes

19 Alexandre Guedes F
30 Peter Adejimi -
1 Francisco Meixedo G
16 André Lopes D
8 Gui Santos M
24 M. Diaby M
47 Piri F
27 Tiago Castro M
3 Kaiquy D

Penafiel

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: José Manuel Aira
1 Oliveira
3 Silva
6 Pica
5 Sánchez
2 Imbene
21 Sá
17 Pinto
7 Borel
33 Schutte
9 Svensson
11 Fuentes

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Miguel Oliveira G
5 Jaime Sánchez D
6 Adrián Pica D
3 Cláudio Silva D
7 Douglas Borel D
17 João Pinto F
21 Pedro Sá M
2 Iano Imbene D
11 J. Fuentes F
9 Max Svensson F
33 Ricardo Schutte F

Substitutes

50 Francisco Varela M
38 M. Ramon M
14 Jorge Meré D
4 João Miguel D
12 Alexei Rojas Fedorushchenko G
10 Davo F
18 Konrad Sinyam M
99 Claudio F
13 Eric Puerto G
23 Duarte Oliveira D
22 Martim Alberto D
79 Tomás Teixeira -

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