Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Felgueiras 1932

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Penafiel

Away

AI call Felgueiras 1932 or draw

37%

32%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel prediction: Sportiko gives Felgueiras 1932 a 37% chance of winning, Penafiel 31% and the draw 32%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 14:59.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Home to Score 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 27'

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

⇄ 53'

62' ⚽ 1–1

63' ⇄

⇄ 63'

77' ⇄

Yellow Card

79' ▮

▮ 81'

Yellow Card

⇄ 81'

⇄ Claudio Mendes

⚽ 1–2 83'

Claudio Mendes

86' ⇄

FT 1–2

Felgueiras 1932

Match Stats

Penafiel

55% Ball Possession 45%

9 Total Shots 7

4 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 0

5 Corner Kicks 5

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Felgueiras 1932 or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Felgueiras 1932

WLLWD

Penafiel

WWWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Penafiel goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Felgueiras 1932 goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

32%

Away Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

32%

Away Win

31%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	9.2%	5.9%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.6%	15.0%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.4%	8.0%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.0%	3.2%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Felgueiras 1932	Draw	Penafiel
Felgueiras 1932	19.6%	3.6%	1.2%
Draw	16.5%	21.1%	11.7%
Penafiel	2.3%	5.1%	19.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Felgueiras 1932 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Naval 1893	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Penafiel	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Vizela	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Chaves	W	2 - 1
24 Aug	A Farense	D	1 - 1

Penafiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Oliveirense	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Felgueiras 1932	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Academica	W	4 - 1
30 Aug	A FC Porto B	W	0 - 3
23 Aug	H Sporting CP B	W	2 - 0

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

Penafiel

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: José Manuel Aira

1 Oliveira

2 Imbene

6 Pica

5 Sánchez

75 Alloh

50 Varela

10 Davo

27 Negrão

11 Fuentes

9 Svensson

17 Pinto

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Miguel Oliveira	G
5	Jaime Sánchez	D
6	Adrián Pica	D
2	Iano Imbene	D
27	Gonçalo Negrão	D
10	Davo	F
50	Francisco Varela	M
75	T. Alloh	D
17	João Pinto	F
9	Max Svensson	F
11	J. Fuentes	F

Substitutes

4	João Miguel	D
33	Ricardo Schutte	F
99	Claudio	F
38	M. Ramon	M
29	N. Martins	M
7	Douglas Borel	D
85	Carlinhos Augusto	M
14	Jorge Meré	D
18	Konrad Sinyam	M
23	Duarte Oliveira	D
79	Tomás Teixeira	-
13	Eric Puerto	G

Felgueiras 1932

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Moreno

14 Pasinato

23 Freitas

3 Pinto

4 Cruz

17 Cruz

80 Silva

8 Landinho

6 Martins

10 Costa

9 Leiite

7 Rivas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
14	Mateus Pasinato	G
17	Filipe Cruz	D
4	Dudu Cruz	D
3	João Pinto	D
23	Afonso de Freitas	D
10	Michel Costa	M
6	Henrique Martins	M
8	Landinho	M
80	Tiago Ventura da Silva	F
7	Mario Rivas	F
9	Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite	F

Substitutes

25	Felipe Scheibig	G
31	E. Esteves	G
45	Bakary Haidara	D
5	Afonso Peixoto	D
16	Beni Jetour	M
20	Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro	M
77	Francisco França	M
19	Lucas da Costa Duarte	F
88	Gustavo Mendes Santos	F
70	B. Ouacharaf	D
87	Adson Samuel	M