Chaves vs Feirense Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Chaves

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Feirense

Away

AI call Chaves or draw

43%

30%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Chaves vs Feirense prediction: Sportiko gives Chaves a 43% chance of winning, Feirense 28% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 15:03.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

21' ▮

HT 0–0

62' ⚽ 1–0

64' ⇄

⇄ 70'

▮ 76'

Yellow Card

81' ⇄

85' ⇄

Yellow Card

86' ▮

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

⇄ 89'

FT 1–0

Chaves

Match Stats

Feirense

58% Ball Possession 42%

14 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 8

0 Blocked Shots 0

3 Corner Kicks 6

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Chaves or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Chaves

WWLDL

Feirense

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Chaves · 1W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Feirense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Chaves goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	7.1%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
1	9.7%	14.2%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.1%	9.0%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.9%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chaves	Draw	Feirense
Chaves	26.1%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	15.9%	18.8%	11.5%
Feirense	2.1%	4.2%	15.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chaves vs Feirense

1 Chaves Wins

2 Draws

0 Feirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 May 2019	Feirense	4 - 4	Chaves
03 Jan 2019	Chaves	0 - 0	Feirense
04 Feb 2018	Feirense	1 - 2	Chaves

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Chaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Guarda	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Feirense	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Felgueiras 1932	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H AVS	D	2 - 2
15 Aug	A Sporting CP B	L	1 - 0

Feirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Salgueiros	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Chaves	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Sporting CP B	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A AVS	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H FC Porto B	L	0 - 1

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

Feirense

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mário Nunes

Chaves

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vitor Martins

1 Valido

3 Romero

29 Tounkara

34 Alves

23 Alabá

10 Rodrigues

42 Tavares

16 Yearwood

9 Maia

18 Tavares

30 Costinha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	João Valido	G
23	Léo Alabá	D
34	Ricardo Alves	D
29	M. Tounkara	D
3	Aarón Romero	D
16	D. Yearwood	M
42	Aílson Tavares	M
10	André Rodrigues	F
30	Costinha	F
18	Wilson Tavares	F
9	Marcos Maia	F

Substitutes

5	Kiko Vilas Boas	D
88	M. Gudžulić	G
19	Gilberto García	M
80	mohamed fofana	M
7	R. Esajas	D
4	Bruno Rodrigues	D
27	J. Mendes	F