Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Amarante

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Lusitânia Lourosa

Away

AI call Amarante or draw

39%

29%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction: Sportiko gives Amarante a 39% chance of winning, Lusitânia Lourosa 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 15:01.

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Home to Score 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

▮ 40'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

▮ 49'

Yellow Card

52' ▮

60' ⇄

⇄ 63'

66' ⇄

⇄ 74'

⇄ 82'

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Amarante or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Amarante

WDLWD

Lusitânia Lourosa

WWWWD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lusitânia Lourosa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	5	2
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Amarante goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	7.5%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.0%	14.4%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.1%	8.9%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.8%	4.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Amarante	Draw	Lusitânia Lourosa
Amarante	25.5%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	15.7%	19.3%	11.2%
Lusitânia Lourosa	2.0%	4.3%	16.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Amarante — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Ponte da Barca	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H União de Leiria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Leixoes	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Benfica B	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Vizela	D	0 - 0

Lusitânia Lourosa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Madalena	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	A Sporting CP B	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H AVS	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academica	W	0 - 2
22 Aug	H Torreense	D	2 - 2

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.