Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Penafiel

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Portimonense

Away

Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

AI call Penafiel or draw

44%

30%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Penafiel vs Portimonense prediction: Sportiko gives Penafiel a 44% chance of winning, Portimonense 26% and the draw 30%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 15:04.

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1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Timeline

▮ 14'

Yellow Card

23' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

⚽ 0–1 56'

66' ⇄

78' ⇄

⇄ 82'

85' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

⇄ 90+8'

FT 0–1

Penafiel

Match Stats

Portimonense

Ball Possession

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Penafiel or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Penafiel

WWWWW

Portimonense

WLLLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Portimonense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	11	6	2
1	13	15	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Penafiel goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Penafiel

No scorer data.

Portimonense

Dudu 0 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	10.7%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%
1	12.6%	15.2%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	7.8%	7.3%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Penafiel	Draw	Portimonense
Penafiel	21.5%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	14.8%	23.8%	12.5%
Portimonense	1.4%	4.0%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Penafiel vs Portimonense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Penafiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Oliveirense	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Felgueiras 1932	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Academica	W	4 - 1
30 Aug	A FC Porto B	W	0 - 3
23 Aug	H Sporting CP B	W	2 - 0

Portimonense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Castro Daire	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Tondela	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A União de Leiria	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Leixoes	L	0 - 2
21 Aug	A Benfica B	D	1 - 1

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

Portimonense

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Tiago Fernandes

1 Dudu

73 Junior

6 Samy

3 Amurim

17 Reis

18 Mamede

8 Casimiro

2 Henrique

7 Djassi

15 Xavier

11 Duda

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dudu	G
3	Jarleysom Amurim	D
6	Samy	D
73	Marlon Junior	D
2	Edney Henrique	M
8	João Casimiro	M
18	Mamede	M
17	João Reis	M
11	Duda	M
15	Xavier	M
7	Danio Djassi	F

Substitutes

19	Midana Cassamá	M
23	Sébastien Cibois	G
44	Lagartinho	G
4	Italo Cabelinho	D
36	Thauan Lara	D
70	Gonçalo Águas	F
93	Welinton Junior	F
79	Paulinho	F

Penafiel

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Manuel Aira Jose

1 Oliveira

3 Silva

5 Sánchez

6 Pica

75 Alloh

21 Sá

8 Reko

27 Negrao

10 Davo

9 Svensson

17 Pinto

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Miguel Oliveira	G
6	Adrián Pica	D
5	Jaime Sánchez	D
3	Cláudio Silva	D
27	Goncalo Negrao	D
8	Reko	M
21	Pedro Sá	M
75	Teddy Alloh	D
17	João Pinto	M
9	Max Svensson	F
10	Davo	M

Substitutes

7	Douglas Borel	M
32	Joan Femenías	G
2	Iano Simão	D
4	João Miguel	D
23	Duarte Oliveira	D
11	Juanda Fuentes	M
29	Nuno Martins	M
38	Mairlon Oliveira	M
85	Carlinhos Augusto	M
33	André Schutte	F