Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 13:00

Post on X

Penafiel

Home

13:00

08 Aug 2026

Portimonense

Away

Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

AI call Penafiel or draw

44%

30%

26%

Home Win · 1.94 Draw · 3.59 Away Win · 4.08

Penafiel vs Portimonense prediction: Sportiko gives Penafiel a 44% chance of winning, Portimonense 26% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Penafiel

LLWDL

Portimonense

WLLLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Portimonense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	11	6	2
1	13	15	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Penafiel goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	10.7%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%
1	12.6%	15.2%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	7.8%	7.3%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Penafiel	Draw	Portimonense
Penafiel	21.1%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	15.1%	23.8%	12.5%
Portimonense	1.5%	4.1%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Penafiel vs Portimonense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Penafiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Mar	H Vizela	L	0 - 1
15 Mar	A Feirense	L	1 - 0
07 Mar	H Farense	W	1 - 0
01 Mar	H Benfica B	D	1 - 1
22 May	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Portimonense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Mar	H FC Porto B	W	2 - 1
16 Mar	A Torreense	L	1 - 0
07 Mar	H Pacos Ferreira	L	2 - 3
28 Feb	A União de Leiria	L	1 - 0
02 Jun	A AVS	L	2 - 1

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Academica	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Leixoes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Feirense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Penafiel	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Portimonense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Vizela	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Chaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Torreense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	União de Leiria	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Amarante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Lusitânia Lourosa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Farense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Felgueiras 1932	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	FC Porto B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Sporting CP B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Benfica B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	AVS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.