Chaves vs Academica Prediction

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 10:00

Post on X

Academica

Away

AI call Chaves or draw

42%

30%

28%

Home Win · 2.02 Draw · 3.35 Away Win · 4.30

Chaves vs Academica prediction: Sportiko gives Chaves a 42% chance of winning, Academica 28% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Chaves or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Chaves

LLWWL

Academica

DDWWW

Match summary

Chaves will face Academica in a Segunda Liga clash on August 8, 2026. Chaves enters the match with a strong home record, having secured an average of 1.8 points per game at home last season. Academica, on the other hand, has shown resilience in away matches, collecting points through a solid defensive structure. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their strengths, but Chaves' attacking prowess could prove decisive. Expect a competitive match as each team seeks to make an early statement in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Academica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Chaves goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	9.9%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
1	9.6%	15.0%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.5%	7.6%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.5%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chaves	Draw	Academica
Chaves	19.4%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	13.4%	20.9%	13.7%
Academica	1.7%	4.4%	20.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chaves vs Academica

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Chaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Guimaraes	L	2 - 0
20 Mar	H União de Leiria	L	0 - 2
13 Mar	A Sporting CP B	W	0 - 1
06 Mar	H Academico Viseu	W	1 - 0
28 Feb	A Vizela	L	3 - 2

Academica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Caldas	D	2 - 2
31 Jul	A União Santarém	D	0 - 0
22 Mar	A Trofense	W	1 - 2
15 Mar	H Mafra	W	2 - 0
07 Mar	A Varzim	W	0 - 1

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Academica	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Leixoes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Feirense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Penafiel	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Portimonense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Vizela	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Chaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Torreense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	União de Leiria	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Amarante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Lusitânia Lourosa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Farense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Felgueiras 1932	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	FC Porto B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Sporting CP B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Benfica B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	AVS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.