Ascoli vs Modena Prediction

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

19 Dec 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Modena

Away

Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

AI call Difficult Ascoli win or draw

59%

26%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ascoli vs Modena prediction: Sportiko gives Ascoli a 59% chance of winning, Modena 15% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Ascoli

WLWDW

Modena

WDLWW

Match summary

Ascoli faces Modena in a crucial Serie B clash. Ascoli's performance has been inconsistent, with a recent record showing 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Modena has fared slightly better with 3 wins in the same timeframe. Key players to watch include Ascoli's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Modena's top scorer, who is in good form. Both teams will aim to capitalize on defensive weaknesses; Modena's away form presents an opportunity for Ascoli to secure valuable points as they push for a higher league standing.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Modena goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	2	1
1	12	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Ascoli goals · most likely 1–0 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Ascoli

A. Silipo 3 gls

Modena

G. Ambrosino 2 gls

G. Caso 2 gls

G. Olzer 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	4.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
1	12.5%	12.3%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.4%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	7.3%	5.7%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	3.3%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ascoli	Draw	Modena
Ascoli	37.1%	3.2%	0.8%
Draw	21.2%	16.7%	6.0%
Modena	2.6%	3.9%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ascoli vs Modena

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ascoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Avellino	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Padova	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Benevento	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Carrarese	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Hellas Verona	W	1 - 2

Modena — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Empoli	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Sudtirol	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Avellino	L	0 - 1
28 Aug	A Cremonese	W	0 - 3
22 Aug	A Benevento	W	1 - 2

Serie B Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10	5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9	3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10	5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7	4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5	6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10	7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7	6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8	8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6	13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4	6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7	6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5	7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7	10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
18	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4	7	-3	3
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5	9	-4	3
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2	6	-4	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.