Mantova vs Empoli Prediction
Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
AI call
Mantova or draw
46%
28%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Mantova vs Empoli prediction: Sportiko gives Mantova a 46% chance of winning, Empoli 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 18:55.
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Timeline
▮
23'
Gerard Yepes
Yellow Card
Alessio Castellini
Yellow Card
42'
▮
HT 0–0
▮
49'
Karim Zedadka
Yellow Card
Francesco Bardi
Yellow Card
51'
▮
⚽
0–1
51'
Edoardo Saporiti
assist: Matteo Egan
▮
55'
Yellow Card
⇄
55'
Karim Zedadka
⇄ Luca Belardinelli
Ettore Gliozzi
⇄ Vanja Vlahović
55'
⇄
Rareș Ilie
⇄ Ismael Cajazzo
56'
⇄
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
⇄ Rachid Kouda
56'
⇄
▮
57'
Marco Curto
Yellow Card
Francesco Ruocco
assist: Alessio Castellini
58'
⚽
1–1
Vanja Vlahović
assist: Stefano Cella
61'
⚽
2–1
⇄
72'
Filippo Distefano
⇄ Bogdan Popov
⇄
72'
Gerard Yepes
⇄ Lapo Deli
▮
74'
Luca Belardinelli
Yellow Card
Francesco Ruocco
⇄ Jean Pierre Longonda
78'
⇄
Bodin Tomašević
⇄ Eman Košpo
83'
⇄
▮
86'
Lapo Deli
Yellow Card
⇄
86'
Niccolò Corrado
⇄ Roberto Berizzi
⇄
86'
Edoardo Saporiti
⇄ Andrea Orlandi
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
assist: Vanja Vlahović
90'
⚽
3–1
▮
90+3'
Luca Magnino
Yellow Card
FT 3–1
Mantova
Match Stats
Empoli
46%
Ball Possession
54%
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
13
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots off Goal
2
1
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots insidebox
2
6
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
5
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
341
Total passes
390
265
Passes accurate
306
78%
Passes %
78%
-0.82
goals_prevented
-0.82
Mantova
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Vanja Vlahović F | 7.9 | 35' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 19 Francesco Ruocco F | 7.6 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 41 Jonathan Silva M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 2 |
| 21 Simone Trimboli M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | – |
| 27 Alessio Castellini D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 53 (42%) | 1 |
| 5 Bodin Tomašević D | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 3 |
| 80 Rachid Kouda M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 25 Lorenzo Ignacchiti M | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 29 Stefano Cella D | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 29 (26%) | 2 |
| 22 Francesco Bardi G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (24%) | – |
| 8 Rareș Ilie F | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 50 Fahem Benaissa-Yahia M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 2 |
| 9 Ettore Gliozzi F | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 6 Jean Pierre Longonda M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 11 Ismael Cajazzo M | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 75 Eman Košpo D | — | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Empoli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Edoardo Saporiti F | 7.7 | 86' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (12%) | – |
| 12 Jacopo Seghetti G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (30%) | – |
| 20 Filippo Distefano F | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 35 Matteo Egan M | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 21 Gerard Yepes M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | 3 |
| 33 Cristian Cauz D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (48%) | 2 |
| 98 Karim Zedadka M | 6.7 | 55' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 91 Niccolò Corrado M | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 23 (14%) | – |
| 11 Stiven Shpendi F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | – |
| 44 Lapo Deli M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 8 Luca Magnino D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (33%) | 1 |
| 57 Luca Belardinelli M | 6.2 | 35' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | 1 |
| 77 Bogdan Popov F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 25 Marco Curto D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | 1 |
| 45 Andrea Orlandi M | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 40 Roberto Berizzi D | — | 4' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
Mantova or draw
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Mantova
DWDLW
Empoli
LLWLW
Last 1 meetings
Mantova · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
25%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Mantova
F. Ruocco
4 gls
V. Vlahović
2 gls
Empoli
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Mantova vs Empoli
0
Mantova Wins
1
Draws
0
Empoli Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Empoli | 2 - 2 | Mantova |
Mantova — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Pisa | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Sampdoria | W | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Cesena | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Palermo | L | 5 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Empoli | W | 3 - 1 |
Empoli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Modena | L | 2 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | H Arezzo | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Carrarese | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Mantova | L | 3 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Cremonese | W | 1 - 0 |
Serie B Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palermo
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Sudtirol
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 |
Mantova
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Modena
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Ascoli
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Padova
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 |
Benevento
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Hellas Verona
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Avellino
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Cesena
|
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Arezzo
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |
Virtus Entella
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |
Cremonese
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 |
Vicenza Virtus
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |
Sampdoria
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 |
Juve Stabia
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 |
Catanzaro
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 |
Carrarese
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Empoli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Guido Pagliuca
12
Seghetti
33
Cauz
25
Curto
8
Magnino
91
Corrado
98
Zedadka
21
Yepes
35
Egan
20
Distefano
10
Saporiti
11
Shpendi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jacopo Seghetti | G |
| 8 | Luca Magnino | D |
| 25 | Marco Curto | D |
| 33 | Cristian Cauz | D |
| 35 | Matteo Egan | M |
| 21 | Gerard Yepes | M |
| 98 | Karim Zedadka | M |
| 91 | Niccolò Corrado | M |
| 10 | Edoardo Saporiti | F |
| 20 | Filippo Distefano | F |
| 11 | Stiven Shpendi | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Emiliano Filippis | G |
| 1 | Samuele Perisan | G |
| 6 | Simone Romagnoli | D |
| 28 | Gabriele Indragoli | D |
| 40 | Roberto Berizzi | D |
| 29 | Lorenzo Tosto | D |
| 39 | Edoardo Biondini | M |
| 38 | Mattia Huqi | M |
| 44 | Lapo Deli | M |
| 57 | Luca Belardinelli | M |
| 77 | Bogdan Popov | F |
| 45 | Andrea Orlandi | M |
Mantova
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Francesco Modesto
22
Bardi
27
Castellini
29
Cella
5
Tomašević
50
Benaissa-Yahia
25
Ignacchiti
21
Trimboli
41
Silva
19
Ruocco
8
Ilie
9
Gliozzi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Francesco Bardi | G |
| 5 | Bodin Tomašević | D |
| 29 | Stefano Cella | D |
| 27 | Alessio Castellini | D |
| 41 | Jonathan Silva | M |
| 21 | Simone Trimboli | M |
| 25 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti | M |
| 50 | Fahem Benaissa-Yahia | M |
| 8 | Rareș Ilie | F |
| 19 | Francesco Ruocco | F |
| 9 | Ettore Gliozzi | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Luca Gemello | G |
| 12 | Manuel Gasparini | G |
| 33 | Cristian Marai | D |
| 75 | Eman Košpo | D |
| 11 | Ismael Cajazzo | M |
| 18 | Sambaly Keïta | M |
| 80 | Rachid Kouda | M |
| 20 | Flavio Paoletti | M |
| 10 | David Wieser | M |
| 6 | Jean Pierre Longonda | M |
| 71 | Federico Chinetti | F |
| 99 | Vanja Vlahović | F |