Padova vs Hellas Verona Prediction

Serie B Serie B · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
AI call Padova or draw
35%
31%
34%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Padova vs Hellas Verona prediction: Sportiko gives Padova a 35% chance of winning, Hellas Verona 34% and the draw 31%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 21:00.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Pietro Fusi Yellow Card
18'
Christian Pastina Yellow Card
24'
Andrias Edmundsson Own Goal
25' 1–0
27'
Tobias Slotsager Yellow Card
HT 1–0
46'
Tobias Slotsager ⇄ Seid Korać
Pietro Fusi ⇄ Giovanni Giunti
59'
Gianluca Caprari ⇄ Kevin Lasagna
59'
65'
Abdou Harroui ⇄ Dailon Rocha Livramento
1–1 67'
Amin Sarr Penalty
Luca Moro ⇄ Mattia Bortolussi
70'
Matteo Cocchi ⇄ Alessandro Capelli
70'
Giovanni Giunti Yellow Card
75'
78'
Mattia Compagnon ⇄ Grigoris Kastanos
78'
Amin Sarr ⇄ Salvatore Cerbone
78'
Gabriele Zappa ⇄ Nicolò Calabrese
Marco Pompetti ⇄ Francesco Di Mariano
83'
Alessandro Capelli Yellow Card
90'
FT 1–1
Padova

Match Stats

Hellas Verona
39% Ball Possession 61%
0.93 Expected Goals (xG) 1.68
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
296 Total passes 473
225 Passes accurate 402
76% Passes % 85%
-0.71 goals_prevented -0.71
Padova
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Pietro Fusi M 7.5 59' 17 (15%) 4
22 Alessandro Sorrentino G 7.0 90' 30 (18%)
21 Emanuele Zuelli M 6.9 90' 1 30 (26%)
10 Gianluca Caprari F 6.9 59' 19 (15%)
24 Lorenzo Carissoni M 6.7 90' 1 18 (13%) 1
5 M. Lovato D 6.7 90' 28 (24%) 1
58 Christian Pastina D 6.6 90' 1 38 (30%) 3
34 Matteo Cocchi M 6.5 70' 27 (19%) 2
9 Luca Moro F 6.5 70' 1 16 (11%) 1
27 Alessandro Dellavalle D 6.3 90' 29 (18%) 2
14 Marco Pompetti M 6.3 83' 1 17 (14%) 2
17 Alessandro Capelli M 6.3 20' 7 (6%)
6 Giovanni Giunti M 6.3 31' 13 (10%) 1
15 Kevin Lasagna F 6.3 31' 1 4 (4%)
20 Mattia Bortolussi F 6.2 20' 2 (1%)
23 Francesco Di Mariano M 7' 1 (1%)
Hellas Verona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Nicola Leali G 7.2 90' 40 (33%)
6 Domagoj Bradarić D 7.2 90' 2 47 (42%) 1
17 Andrea Le Borgne M 7.2 90' 1 41 (36%) 3
24 Antoine Bernede M 7.0 90' 58 (53%) 3
9 Amin Sarr M 7.0 78' 1 2 23 (17%) 1
11 Mattia Compagnon F 6.9 78' 1 29 (22%)
48 Seid Korać D 6.9 45' 1 38 (36%) 1
4 Gabriele Zappa M 6.7 78' 42 (37%)
5 Andrias Edmundsson D 6.7 90' 63 (46%) 3
35 Salvatore Cerbone F 6.7 12' 3 (2%)
19 Samuele Mulattieri F 6.5 90' 13 (11%) 2
14 Dailon Rocha Livramento F 6.3 25' 5 (5%)
28 Tobias Slotsager D 6.3 45' 25 (23%)
20 Grigoris Kastanos M 6.3 12' 9 (8%)
37 Nicolò Calabrese D 6.3 12' 6 (6%)
21 Abdou Harroui M 6.0 65' 2 31 (25%) 1
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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean
Padova or draw
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Padova
LWLDW
Hellas Verona
WLWWD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
34%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Padova

No scorer data.

Hellas Verona
S. Mulattieri 2 gls
S. Cerbone 2 gls
D. Mosquera 2 gls

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Head to Head: Padova vs Hellas Verona

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Padova — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Palermo L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Ascoli W 1 - 0
06 Sep A Cremonese L 3 - 1
29 Aug H Hellas Verona D 1 - 1
23 Aug A Pisa W 0 - 1

Hellas Verona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Vicenza Virtus W 2 - 1
11 Sep A Benevento L 3 - 1
06 Sep H Arezzo W 5 - 0
03 Sep A Cagliari W 1 - 2
29 Aug A Padova D 1 - 1

Serie B Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palermo
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Sudtirol
5 3 2 0 +6 11
3
Mantova
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Modena
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Ascoli
5 3 1 1 +3 10
6
Padova
5 2 1 2 -1 7
7
Benevento
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Hellas Verona
5 2 1 2 +3 7
9
Avellino
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Cesena
5 1 4 0 +1 7
11
Pisa
5 2 1 2 0 7
12
Arezzo
5 2 0 3 -7 6
13
Empoli
5 2 0 3 -2 6
14
Virtus Entella
5 1 2 2 +1 5
15
Cremonese
5 1 2 2 -2 5
16
Vicenza Virtus
5 1 2 2 -3 5
17
Sampdoria
5 1 1 3 -4 4
18
Juve Stabia
5 1 2 2 -3 3
19
Catanzaro
5 1 0 4 -4 3
20
Carrarese
5 0 1 4 -4 1

Hellas Verona

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1 Leali
6 Bradarić
5 Edmundsson
28 Slotsager
9 Sarr
21 Harroui
24 Bernede
17 Borgne
4 Zappa
19 Mulattieri
11 Compagnon

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Leali G
28 T. Slotsager D
5 A. Edmundsson D
6 D. Bradarić D
4 G. Zappa M
17 A. Le Borgne M
24 A. Bernede M
21 A. Harroui M
9 A. Sarr M
11 M. Compagnon F
19 S. Mulattieri F

Substitutes

37 N. Calabrese D
70 Fallou Cham D
71 D. De Battisti D
20 G. Kastanos M
48 S. Korač D
23 N. Lella M
14 D. Livramento F
34 S. Perilli G
79 K. Sezonienko F
22 G. Toniolo G
90 Ioan Vermeșan F

Padova

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
22 Sorrentino
58 Pastina
5 Lovato
27 Dellavalle
34 Cocchi
8 Fusi
21 Zuelli
14 Pompetti
24 Carissoni
10 Caprari
9 Moro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 A. Sorrentino G
27 Alessandro Dellavalle D
5 M. Lovato D
58 C. Pastina D
24 L. Carissoni M
14 M. Pompetti M
21 E. Zuelli M
8 P. Fusi M
34 M. Cocchi M
9 L. Moro F
10 G. Caprari F

Substitutes

17 A. Capelli M
20 M. Bortolussi F
23 F. Di Mariano M
72 C. Faedo D
6 G. Giunti M
15 K. Lasagna F
1 L. Mouquet G
32 F. Sgarbi D
7 K. Varas M

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