Leganes vs Castellón Prediction
FT
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
AI call
Castellón or draw
29%
29%
42%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Leganes vs Castellón prediction: Sportiko gives Leganes a 29% chance of winning, Castellón 42% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Sep 2026, 20:27.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
- Home to Score 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Álvaro Morata
Yellow Card
20'
▮
⚽
0–1
24'
Israel Suero
▮
28'
Íñigo Cordoba
Yellow Card
Naim García
Yellow Card
30'
▮
HT 0–1
⚽
0–2
47'
Adam Jakobsen
assist: Israel Suero
Álex Sancris
⇄ Dani Rodríguez
56'
⇄
Zico Buurmeester
56'
⇄
⇄
57'
Juanjo Nieto
⇄ Lucas Alcazar
⇄
57'
Íñigo Cordoba
⇄ Pablo Santiago
Marvel
Yellow Card
58'
▮
⇄
71'
Adam Jakobsen
⇄ Francisco Castillo
Marvel
⇄ Rubén Pulido
71'
⇄
Patrick Soko
⇄ Unax del Cura
71'
⇄
Álvaro Morata
⇄ Álex Millán
77'
⇄
⇄
81'
Ousmane Camara
⇄ Alvaro Garcia
⇄
81'
Israel Suero
⇄ Antonio Gala
▮
82'
Jeremy Mellot
Red Card
Álex Millán
Missed Penalty
84'
✗
Yassine Kechta
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Rubén Pulido
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
Unax del Cura
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 0–2
Leganes
Match Stats
Castellón
44%
Ball Possession
56%
15
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots off Goal
7
3
Blocked Shots
7
7
Shots insidebox
10
8
Shots outsidebox
10
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
11
6
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
388
Total passes
506
319
Passes accurate
434
10
Free Kicks
16
Leganes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Luca Zidane G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (29%) | – |
| 6 Lalo Aguilar D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (42%) | 3 |
| 20 Miguel Atienza M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | 4 |
| 22 Álex Sancris M | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Álex Millán F | 6.4 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 16 Unax del Cura F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 3 Javi Montero D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (51%) | 1 |
| 2 Marvel D | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 31 (29%) | – |
| 14 Dani Rodríguez M | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 8 Yassine Kechta M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 2 |
| 19 Patrick Soko F | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | 3 | 12 (8%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 5.9 | 34' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 4 Rubén Pulido D | 5.9 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 10 Zico Buurmeester M | 5.8 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 3 |
| 11 Naim García M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 29 (20%) | 6 |
| 21 Álvaro Morata F | 5.5 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
Castellón
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Israel Suero M | 9.0 | 81' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 16 Adam Jakobsen M | 8.2 | 71' | 1 | – | 3 | 29 (26%) | – |
| 5 Alberto Jiménez D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (59%) | 2 |
| 8 Diego Barri M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 73 (68%) | 2 |
| 2 Juanjo Nieto M | 7.2 | 57' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 3 |
| 21 Álvaro Martín M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 46 (40%) | 2 |
| 13 Romain Matthys G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (28%) | – |
| 17 Francisco Castillo M | 7.1 | 19' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 12 Lucas Alcazar D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | 1 |
| 4 Agustín Sienra D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (47%) | – |
| 27 Antonio Gala M | 6.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 18 Pablo Santiago F | 6.6 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 14 Íñigo Cordoba M | 6.6 | 57' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 3 |
| 23 Alvaro Garcia F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 22 Jeremy Mellot D | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 64 (57%) | 2 |
| 9 Ousmane Camara F | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 5 | 19 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Castellón or draw
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Leganes
LLDLL
Castellón
DWWWL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Leganes
No scorer data.
Castellón
Israel Suero
6 gls
Ousmane Camara
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leganes vs Castellón
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Leganes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Albacete | L | 1 - 3 |
| 02 Nov | A Valladolid | L | 4 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | H Mallorca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Cordoba | L | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Almeria | L | 3 - 0 |
Castellón — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Burgos | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Conquense | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | H Sporting Gijon | W | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Las Palmas | W | 0 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | A FC Andorra | L | 1 - 0 |
Segunda División Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Castellón
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 27 |
| 2 |
Almeria
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |
Burgos
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |
Eibar
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |
Granada CF
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |
Mallorca
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |
Sporting Gijon
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 21 |
| 9 |
Oviedo
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |
Cordoba
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Sabadell
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 |
Tenerife
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |
Eldense
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 |
FC Andorra
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |
Real Sociedad II
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 |
Cadiz
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |
Albacete
|
13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |
AD Ceuta FC
|
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 5 |
Leganes
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Eva Olid
13
Zidane
2
Marvel
3
Montero
6
Aguilar
22
Sancris
8
Kechta
20
Atienza
10
Buurmeester
11
García
21
Morata
19
Soko
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | L. Zidane | G |
| 6 | Lalo Aguilar | D |
| 3 | Javi Montero | D |
| 2 | Marvel | D |
| 11 | Naim García | M |
| 10 | Z. Buurmeester | M |
| 20 | Miguel Atienza | M |
| 8 | Y. Kechta | M |
| 22 | Álex Sancris | M |
| 19 | P. Soko | F |
| 21 | Álvaro Morata | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed | F |
| 18 | Andrés Campos | F |
| 1 | Raúl Fernández | G |
| 33 | J. Herrero | M |
| 31 | Nico Lozano | G |
| 9 | Álex Millán | F |
| 5 | Ignasi Miquel | D |
| 36 | Sulaiman Mulumba | D |
| 4 | Rubén Pulido | D |
| 14 | Dani Rodríguez | M |
| 23 | Álvaro Tejero | D |
| 16 | U. del Cura | F |
Castellón
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Pablo Hernández
13
Matthys
4
Sienra
5
Jiménez
22
Mellot
14
Córdoba
8
Barri
21
Martín
2
Nieto
16
Jakobsen
10
Suero
9
Camara
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | R. Matthys | G |
| 22 | J. Mellot | D |
| 5 | Alberto Jiménez | D |
| 4 | A. Sienra | D |
| 2 | Juanjo Nieto | M |
| 21 | Álvaro Martín | M |
| 8 | Barri | M |
| 14 | Iñigo Córdoba | M |
| 10 | Israel Suero | M |
| 16 | A. Jakobsen | M |
| 9 | Ousmane Camara | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | D. Muale Nzanza | F |
| 15 | I. Kostis | D |
| 23 | Varo García | F |
| 27 | A. Gala | M |
| 20 | Martín Conde | D |
| 11 | F. Ceccherini | D |
| 17 | F. Castillo | M |
| 19 | Hamza Bellari | F |
| 12 | Lucas Alcázar | D |
| 18 | Pablo Santiago | F |
| 7 | Raúl Sánchez | F |
| 35 | Sergi Torner | G |