Elgin City vs Stranraer Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 8

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Elgin City

Home

1 : 5

HT 1 - 3

Stranraer

Away

Borough Briggs, Elgin

AI call Elgin City or draw

43%

28%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Elgin City vs Stranraer prediction: Sportiko gives Elgin City a 43% chance of winning, Stranraer 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:50.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Away to Score 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

⚽ 0–2 13'

▮ 34'

Yellow Card

▮ 35'

Yellow Card

36' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 45'

HT 1–3

⚽ 1–4 46'

49' ⇄

Yellow Card

61' ▮

63' ⇄

⇄ 69'

70' ⇄

⇄ 71'

⇄ 74'

⚽ 1–5 81'

⇄ 81'

⇄ 82'

FT 1–5

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Elgin City or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Elgin City

WLLWL

Stranraer

LWWWL

Last 1 meetings Elgin City · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Stranraer leads 1-5. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

82' Goal 85% sure

Stranraer now leads 1-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 22.1%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Stranraer leads 1-4. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

47' Goal 85% sure

Stranraer now leads 1-4 with 97.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.6%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Stranraer now leads 1-3 with 88.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stranraer goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Elgin City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.9%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
1	7.9%	13.3%	7.3%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.4%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.9%	4.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elgin City	Draw	Stranraer
Elgin City	26.9%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	15.1%	16.8%	10.2%
Stranraer	2.5%	4.8%	17.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elgin City vs Stranraer

1 Elgin City Wins

0 Draws

0 Stranraer Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Stranraer	1 - 2	Elgin City

Elgin City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 0
19 Sep	H Stranraer	L	1 - 5
12 Sep	A Annan Athletic	L	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Fraserburgh	W	7 - 0
05 Sep	A Dumbarton	L	2 - 1

Stranraer — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Berwick Rangers	L	3 - 2
19 Sep	A Elgin City	W	1 - 5
12 Sep	H Dumbarton	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	A Forfar Athletic	W	0 - 3
01 Sep	H Celtic II	L	3 - 4

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.