Dumbarton vs Elgin City Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 6

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Dumbarton

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Elgin City

Away

AI call Difficult Elgin City win or draw

25%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dumbarton vs Elgin City prediction: Sportiko gives Dumbarton a 25% chance of winning, Elgin City 50% and the draw 25%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:54.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
Home to Score 72%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

15' ▮

▮ 15'

Yellow Card

43' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 56'

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

64' ⚽ 2–0

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

68' ⇄

74' ⇄

▮ 80'

Yellow Card

⇄ 80'

⚽ 2–1 89'

FT 2–1

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Elgin City win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Dumbarton

WWLLW

Elgin City

WLLWL

Last 1 meetings Dumbarton · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

50%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elgin City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	8	5	2	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	7	6	4	2	1
3	1	3	3	2	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ Dumbarton goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

25%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

25%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	6.9%	7.8%	4.9%	2.3%
1	4.1%	11.7%	9.8%	6.2%	2.9%
2	3.5%	6.5%	6.2%	3.9%	1.8%
3	1.5%	2.7%	2.6%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dumbarton	Draw	Elgin City
Dumbarton	11.8%	3.2%	1.8%
Draw	10.3%	14.4%	13.3%
Elgin City	2.7%	5.9%	36.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dumbarton vs Elgin City

0 Dumbarton Wins

1 Draws

0 Elgin City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Elgin City	1 - 1	Dumbarton

Dumbarton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Kilmarnock II	W	3 - 2
19 Sep	H Spartans	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Stranraer	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	A Cove Rangers	L	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Elgin City	W	2 - 1

Elgin City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 0
19 Sep	H Stranraer	L	1 - 5
12 Sep	A Annan Athletic	L	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Fraserburgh	W	7 - 0
05 Sep	A Dumbarton	L	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.