Spartans vs Elgin City Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Spartans

Home

3 : 3

HT 1 - 2

Elgin City

Away

AI call Spartans or draw

41%

28%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spartans vs Elgin City prediction: Sportiko gives Spartans a 41% chance of winning, Elgin City 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:55.

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Away to Score 76%
Home to Score 73%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

▮ 29'

Yellow Card

30' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 33'

Penalty

⚽ 1–2 43'

HT 1–2

⚽ 1–3 49'

▮ 52'

Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Penalty

66' ⚽ 2–3

Yellow Card

70' ▮

71' ⇄

⇄ 74'

79' ⚽ 3–3

▮ 80'

Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

FT 3–3

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Spartans or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Spartans

DLWLW

Elgin City

WLLWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elgin City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Spartans goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	7.8%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%
1	7.1%	13.8%	8.6%	4.1%	1.4%
2	5.7%	8.0%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%
3	2.5%	3.5%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartans	Draw	Elgin City
Spartans	16.9%	3.8%	1.9%
Draw	14.6%	17.9%	13.8%
Elgin City	2.6%	5.2%	23.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartans vs Elgin City

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Spartans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Gala Fairydean Rovers	D	0 - 0
19 Sep	A Dumbarton	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Forfar Athletic	W	5 - 1
08 Sep	H Hamilton Academical	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Stirling Albion	W	0 - 2

Elgin City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 0
19 Sep	H Stranraer	L	1 - 5
12 Sep	A Annan Athletic	L	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Fraserburgh	W	7 - 0
05 Sep	A Dumbarton	L	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.