Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Kelty Hearts

Home

3 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Dumbarton

Away

New Central Park, Kelty

AI call Difficult Kelty Hearts win or draw

52%

26%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton prediction: Sportiko gives Kelty Hearts a 52% chance of winning, Dumbarton 22% and the draw 26%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:59.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'

Penalty

19' ⚽ 1–1

20' ⚽ 2–1

Yellow Card

40' ▮

45' ⇄

HT 2–1

▮ 52'

Yellow Card

66' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Yellow Card

72' ▮

73' ⚽ 3–1

Yellow Card

74' ▮

⇄ 85'

86' ⇄

FT 3–1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Kelty Hearts win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Kelty Hearts

LLLWW

Dumbarton

WWLLW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dumbarton goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	10	9	5	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Kelty Hearts goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.2%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
1	11.1%	13.7%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.9%	9.5%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.1%	4.9%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.0%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kelty Hearts	Draw	Dumbarton
Kelty Hearts	34.5%	5.3%	1.8%
Draw	14.9%	18.2%	10.2%
Dumbarton	1.5%	3.1%	10.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Kelty Hearts — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hearts U21	L	3 - 5
19 Sep	H Edinburgh City	L	1 - 3
12 Sep	A Clyde	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Cumbernauld Colts	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Annan Athletic	W	2 - 1

Dumbarton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Kilmarnock II	W	3 - 2
19 Sep	H Spartans	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Stranraer	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	A Cove Rangers	L	6 - 1
05 Sep	H Elgin City	W	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.