East Fife vs Montrose Prediction

League One · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

East Fife

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Montrose

Away

MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil

AI call East Fife or draw

37%

31%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

East Fife vs Montrose prediction: Sportiko gives East Fife a 37% chance of winning, Montrose 32% and the draw 31%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:53.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Home to Score 72%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
1st Half Home or Draw 72%

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Timeline

▮ 23'

Yellow Card

▮ 29'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 30'

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

⚽ 0–2 47'

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

68' ⇄

⇄ 70'

75' ⇄

Yellow Card

76' ▮

82' ⇄

86' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 88'

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

East Fife or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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East Fife

LWDWD

Montrose

LWWWW

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Montrose win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Montrose leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.3%. Comeback chance: 1.7%.

48' Goal 85% sure

Montrose now leads 0-2 with 92.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 67.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Montrose leads. Win probability: 70.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.5%.

31' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Montrose win: 67.2%. BTTS: 57.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Montrose goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ East Fife goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	8.3%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.3%	14.6%	7.6%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.1%	8.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.0%	3.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	East Fife	Draw	Montrose
East Fife	17.9%	3.4%	1.3%
Draw	17.6%	19.7%	12.1%
Montrose	2.9%	5.4%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: East Fife vs Montrose

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

East Fife — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Montrose	L	1 - 2
15 Sep	H Motherwell U21	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	A Queen of the South	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Clyde	W	1 - 4
05 Sep	H Ross County	D	2 - 2

Montrose — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Formartine United	L	3 - 2
19 Sep	A East Fife	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Cove Rangers	W	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A Peterhead	W	0 - 3

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ross County	7	6	1	0	22	4	+18	19
2	Hamilton Academical	7	6	1	0	16	1	+15	19
3	Montrose	8	5	0	3	13	13	0	15
4	East Kilbride	8	4	1	3	14	12	+2	13
5	Alloa Athletic	8	2	3	3	8	6	+2	9
6	Airdrie United	8	2	3	3	6	11	-5	9
7	East Fife	8	1	5	2	7	7	0	8
8	Peterhead	8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7
9	Cove Rangers	8	1	2	5	5	11	-6	5
10	Queen of the South	8	1	1	6	6	24	-18	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.