Naftan vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Naftan

Home

3 : 0

HT 2 - 0

Arsenal

Away

AI call Arsenal or draw

26%

30%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Naftan vs Arsenal prediction: Sportiko gives Naftan a 26% chance of winning, Arsenal 45% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 16:39.

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Timeline

28' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 28'

43' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

46' ⚽ 3–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

62' ▮

74' ⇄

81' ⇄

⇄ 81'

88' ⇄

FT 3–0

Naftan

Match Stats

Arsenal

41% Ball Possession 59%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

3 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 10

3 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

4 Corner Kicks 10

3 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

Arsenal or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Naftan

WDLLL

Arsenal

LDDLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	14	11	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Naftan goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	13.9%	11.0%	5.2%	1.9%
1	7.1%	14.0%	8.8%	4.2%	1.5%
2	3.5%	5.0%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%
3	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Naftan	Draw	Arsenal
Naftan	10.3%	3.2%	1.4%
Draw	8.9%	20.6%	16.0%
Arsenal	1.2%	4.5%	33.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Naftan vs Arsenal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Naftan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Slavia Mozyr	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Bate Borisov	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H FC Minsk	L	0 - 3
02 Sep	A Dinamo Minsk	L	5 - 1
28 Aug	A FC Vitebsk	L	2 - 0

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A ML Vitebsk	L	5 - 1
12 Sep	H Baranovichi	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A FC Isloch Minsk R.	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Torpedo Zhodino	L	2 - 4
22 Aug	A Belshina	L	2 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37	18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42	17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37	16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38	23	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33	18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26	20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28	21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30	28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28	29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23	26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24	38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	24	41	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22	36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16	27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20	36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20	54	-34	14

Naftan

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Aleksandr Khrapkovski

16 Shelikhov

5 Lebedev

7 Tumanov

8 Stefanishin

9 Yakovlev

50 Mafwenta

24 Seleznev

97 Chernyavskiy

10 Savitskiy

94 Voskoboynikov

11 Pranovich

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Denys Shelikhov	G
8	Andrey Stefanishin	D
7	Alexey Tumanov	D
5	Andrei Lebedev	D
10	Aleksandr Savitskiy	M
97	Vasiliy Chernyavskiy	D
24	Ilya Seleznev	M
50	Golden Mafwenta	M
9	Vadim Yakovlev	M
11	Ignat Pranovich	M
94	Artem Voskoboynikov	F

Substitutes

30	Marlen Aimanov	F
22	Vladislav Fezhenko	M
71	Aleksandr Naumovich	G
13	Aleksey Kharitonovich	G
88	Artem Drabatovich	D
21	Kirill Kirkitskiy	M
20	Egor Leshchenok	M
25	Matvey Susha	F
14	Ivan Chmut	F

Arsenal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Igor Voronkov

30 Soroko

13 Oreshkevich

46 Vasiljev

23 Paliakou

31 Zaleskiy

26 Tkachenko

8 Kaplenko

18 Volskiy

90 Antilevski

33 Gorbachik

71 Matveev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Artem Soroko	G
31	Andrei Zaleskiy	D
23	Dzianis Paliakou	-
46	Vladislav Vasiljev	D
13	Ivan Oreshkevich	D
18	Daniel Volskiy	M
8	Nikita Kaplenko	M
26	Vadim Tkachenko	M
71	Maksim Matveev	D
33	Valeriy Gorbachik	F
90	Dmitri Antilevski	F

Substitutes

4	Eduard Akunets	D
9	Ilya Vasin	F
1	Ivan Sanko	G
10	Sergey Sazonchik	M
19	Aleksandr Veretennikov	F
19	Dzambolat Tsallagov	F