Mariehamn vs FF Jaro Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Mariehamn

Home

2 : 0

HT 0 - 0

FF Jaro

Away

AI call Mariehamn or draw

44%

28%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Mariehamn vs FF Jaro prediction: Sportiko gives Mariehamn a 44% chance of winning, FF Jaro 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 17:53.

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Home to Score 75%

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Timeline

A. Larsson Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–0

▮ 49'

Yellow Card

▮ 52'

J. Skau Yellow Card

⇄ 60'

V. Vuorinen

A. Larsson

62' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 69'

⇄ A. Bjonbäck

A. Larsson

73' ⇄

assist: J. Svedberg

75' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 76'

A. Vidjeskog

⇄ 76'

J. Svedberg Yellow Card

77' ▮

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

Arvid Bergvik ⇄ A. Stroud

80' ⇄

⇄ M. Hyvönen

80' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Mariehamn or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Mariehamn

LWLWW

FF Jaro

DDLLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FF Jaro goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	4	1
1	13	14	5	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Mariehamn goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	7.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
1	13.1%	14.3%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
2	10.2%	8.8%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	4.7%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mariehamn	Draw	FF Jaro
Mariehamn	28.9%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	17.6%	20.7%	7.8%
FF Jaro	2.1%	4.6%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo

1 Lund

31 Ngulube

19 Gyamfi

5 Koivisto

26 Richtnér

20 Patut

8 Heyden

23 Widlund

14 Bergvik

11 Svedberg

7 Larsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kevin Lund	G
26	Ludvig Richtnér	D
5	Tuomas Koivisto	D
19	Foster Gyamfi	D
31	Samson Ngulube	D
8	Jelle van der Heyden	M
20	Emmanuel Patut	M
11	Jonathan Svedberg	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M
23	Viktor Widlund	D
7	Adam Larsson	F

Substitutes

32	Anton Gustafsson	G
3	Aaro Soiniemi	D
22	Amir Oujlouq	D
15	Ola Melander	M
18	Adam Stroud	M
19	Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen	M
26	Milton Jansson	M
64	Marlo Hyvonen	M
43	Leo Andersson	F

FF Jaro

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jens Karlsson

1 Vits

19 Ness

25 Kocsis

7 Skau

21 Myrevik

16 Vidjeskog

8 Kawo

77 Sabriye

22 Hardén

91 Vuorinen

9 Zetterstrom

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Senne Vits	G
21	Jim Myrevik	D
7	Jesper Svenungsen Skau	D
25	Gergő Kocsis	M
19	Fabian Östigard Ness	D
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
16	Adam Vidjeskog	M
91	Ville Vuorinen	M
22	Kaius Hardén	M
77	Abdi Mohamed Sabriye	M
9	Linus Zetterstrom	F

Substitutes

42	Joni Remesaho	M
5	Aron Bjonbäck	D
12	Joas Snellman	G
2	Felix Kass	D
6	Johan Brunell	D
20	Ted Soderstrom	D
24	Valde Lofs	M
18	Elliot Holmäng	F
27	Joas Vikström	F