Gnistan vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 20
FT
Post on X
Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
AI call Gnistan or draw
45%
27%
28%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Gnistan vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives Gnistan a 45% chance of winning, Ilves 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 17 Aug 2026, 16:55.

Premium picks

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  • Home or Away 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

S. Väisänen Own Goal
4' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 14'
T. Hytönen
Bogdan Milovanov Yellow Card
24' ▮
⚽ 1–2 41'
A. Popovitch assist: K. Wallius
▮ 43'
S. Väisänen Yellow Card
A. Akinyemi assist: G. Europaeus
45' ⚽ 2–2
HT 2–2
S. Ylätupa ⇄ A. Atarah
46' ⇄
▮ 56'
S. Väisänen Yellow Card
▮ 56'
S. Väisänen Red Card
⇄ 62'
⇄ Y. Raap
⇄ 62'
J. Kilo ⇄ S. Baranov
A. Akinyemi ⇄ D. Pérez
63' ⇄
⇄ 78'
A. Popovitch ⇄ R. Riski
⇄ 78'
Bogdan Milovanov
81' ⚽ 3–2
R. Eremenko ⇄ J. Latonen
86' ⇄
86' ⇄
⇄ 89'
T. Miettunen
D. Pérez Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
▮ 90+3'
J. Kanga Yellow Card
A. Atarah ⇄ J. Ojala
90+4' ⇄
FT 3–2
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Gnistan or draw
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Gnistan
LDLLL
Ilves
WDWWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
28%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gnistan
A. Akinyemi 5 gls
Ilves
T. Hytönen 9 gls
E. Tamminen 4 gls
J. Kanga 4 gls
M. Stjopin 3 gls

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Head to Head: Gnistan vs Ilves

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Inter Turku L 4 - 3
29 Oct A KuPS D 1 - 1
24 Oct H AC Oulu L 3 - 4
17 Oct A HJK Helsinki L 4 - 0
12 Oct A VPS L 1 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Oct H SJK W 2 - 0
10 Oct A Mariehamn D 1 - 1
19 Sep A Turku PS W 0 - 3
12 Sep H Lahti W 3 - 1
08 Sep H FF Jaro W 2 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
HJK Helsinki
31 17 7 7 +27 58
2
Inter Turku
31 16 10 5 +14 58
3
KuPS
31 14 11 6 +15 53
4
AC Oulu
31 14 5 12 +1 47
5
Gnistan
31 11 10 10 +1 43
6
VPS
31 11 7 13 -7 40

Relegration Group

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
27 11 6 10 +9 39
2
Ilves
27 11 5 11 +6 38
3
Turku PS
27 8 8 11 -4 32
4
SJK
27 6 9 12 -8 27
5
FF Jaro
27 4 9 14 -27 21
6
Mariehamn
27 4 7 16 -27 19

Ilves

Coach: Joni Lehtonen

Gnistan

Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

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