HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

HJK Helsinki

Home

3 : 0

HT 2 - 0

FF Jaro

Away

Bolt Arena, Helsinki

AI call HJK Helsinki to win or draw

76%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro prediction: Sportiko gives HJK Helsinki a 76% chance of winning, FF Jaro 8% and the draw 16%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 14:50.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Alfie Cicale assist: M. Ylitolva

5' ⚽ 1–0

M. Borchers

9' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

▮ 48'

J. Skau Yellow Card

⇄ J. Kallinen

60' ⇄

⇄ 62'

R. Vikström ⇄ V. Vuorinen

⇄ 63'

J. Myrevik ⇄ A. Bjonbäck

assist: T. Pukki

68' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

P. Mentu ⇄ A. Ring

72' ⇄

M. Borchers ⇄ S. Haarala

72' ⇄

L. Montano ⇄ K. Simojoki

72' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Abdi Mohamed Sabriye

▮ 78'

A. Vidjeskog Yellow Card

T. Pukki ⇄ L. Lappalainen

79' ⇄

⇄ 81'

FT 3–0

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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Our lean

HJK Helsinki to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.1%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

FF Jaro

DDLLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

76%

45%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FF Jaro goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	1
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ HJK Helsinki goals · most likely 2–0 (20.1%)

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Players in form

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 4 gls

T. Pukki 3 gls

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.3%	5.8%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.1%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.9%	4.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.4%	2.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

33%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HJK Helsinki	Draw	FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki	56.5%	1.0%	0.1%
Draw	25.6%	10.5%	1.2%
FF Jaro	1.7%	1.6%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Joonas Rantanen

44 Marković

14 Montano

3 Cissokho

5 Nallo

28 Ylitolva

7 Cicale

8 Mentu

32 Gueye

17 Kirilov

20 Pukki

9 Borchers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	Matej Marković	G
28	Miska Ylitolva	D
5	Amara Nallo	D
3	Till Cissokho	D
14	Leonel Montano	D
17	Martin Kirilov	M
32	Mouhamed Gueye	M
8	Pyry Mentu	M
7	Alfie Cicale	M
9	Mads Borchers	F
20	Teemu Pukki	F

Substitutes

15	Jere Kallinen	M
13	Kaius Simojoki	D
4	Alexander Ring	M
29	Santeri Haarala	F
1	Jesse Öst	G
12	Mitja Haapanen	G
31	Mihailo Bogićević	D
26	Lassi Lappalainen	M

FF Jaro

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jens Karlsson

1 Vits

19 Ness

4 Ogungbaro

7 Skau

21 Myrevik

77 Sabriye

16 Vidjeskog

8 Kawo

15 Vikström

11 Sjögrell

22 Hardén

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Senne Vits	G
21	Jim Myrevik	D
7	Jesper Svenungsen Skau	D
4	Michael Ogungbaro	D
19	Fabian Östigard Ness	D
15	Rudi Vikström	F
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
16	Adam Vidjeskog	M
77	Abdi Mohamed Sabriye	M
22	Kaius Hardén	M
11	Herman Sjögrell	M

Substitutes

5	Aron Bjonbäck	D
91	Ville Vuorinen	M
31	Anton Finell	G
20	Ted Soderstrom	D
17	Joar Laakso	M
24	Valde Lofs	M
18	Elliot Holmäng	F
27	Joas Vikström	F