AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 19

09 Aug 2026, 16:00

Post on X

HJK Helsinki

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

AI call HJK Helsinki or draw

32%

28%

40%

Home Win · 3.20 Draw · 3.60 Away Win · 2.21

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki prediction: Sportiko gives AC Oulu a 32% chance of winning, HJK Helsinki 40% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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AC Oulu

WDLLD

HJK Helsinki

DLWWW

Last 1 meetings AC Oulu · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, AC Oulu will face HJK Helsinki. HJK currently leads the league with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while AC Oulu has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Historically, HJK has dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters. Oulu will need to capitalize on set pieces and create scoring opportunities, as they have a lower possession rate compared to HJK. The match could hinge on Oulu's ability to contain HJK's attacking threats and convert their chances effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HJK Helsinki goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AC Oulu goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

HJK Helsinki

T. Pukki 3 gls

M. Borchers 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	7.5%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
1	7.6%	13.9%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.3%	8.4%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.8%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Oulu	Draw	HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu	16.8%	3.0%	1.2%
Draw	16.6%	17.6%	10.9%
HJK Helsinki	3.5%	6.4%	24.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

1 AC Oulu Wins

0 Draws

0 HJK Helsinki Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	AC Oulu	2 - 1	HJK Helsinki

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Ilves	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	A Mariehamn	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	H Gnistan	L	0 - 2
11 Jul	A Turku PS	L	3 - 0
27 Jun	H Lahti	D	1 - 1

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Motherwell	D	1 - 1
03 Aug	A SJK	L	3 - 0
30 Jul	A Coleraine FC	W	0 - 3
26 Jul	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
23 Jul	H Coleraine FC	W	5 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	18	11	6	1	33	16	+17	39
2	Inter Turku	18	9	7	2	25	14	+11	34
3	AC Oulu	18	9	3	6	22	21	+1	30
4	Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	+5	29
5	HJK Helsinki	18	8	4	6	28	23	+5	28
6	VPS	18	7	6	5	24	17	+7	27
7	Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	+6	25
8	Turku PS	18	7	4	7	23	20	+3	25
9	Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	-2	22
10	SJK	19	4	6	9	24	29	-5	18
11	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	-18	15
12	Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	-30	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.