Hegelmann II vs Dainava Prediction

1 Lyga · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Hegelmann II

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Dainava

Away

AI call Difficult Dainava win or draw

23%

25%

52%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hegelmann II vs Dainava prediction: Sportiko gives Hegelmann II a 23% chance of winning, Dainava 52% and the draw 25%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 17:56.

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1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Home to Score 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 22'

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Dainava win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Hegelmann II

LLWLW

Dainava

WLDLL

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Dainava leads 0-1. Win probability: 87.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Dainava leads. Win probability: 79%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.9%.

23' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Dainava win: 77.7%. BTTS: 60%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

52%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dainava goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	8	5	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	3	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Hegelmann II goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

25%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

25%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	7.0%	8.0%	5.2%	2.5%
1	3.9%	11.5%	9.9%	6.4%	3.1%
2	3.2%	6.3%	6.1%	3.9%	1.9%
3	1.3%	2.6%	2.5%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hegelmann II	Draw	Dainava
Hegelmann II	11.8%	3.8%	2.6%
Draw	9.5%	14.5%	16.8%
Dainava	2.1%	4.8%	34.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hegelmann II vs Dainava

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Hegelmann II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dainava	L	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Transinvest 2	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H FA Šiauliai II	W	5 - 1
29 Aug	A Kauno Žalgiris II	L	3 - 0
21 Aug	H Ekranas	W	3 - 2

Dainava — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Hegelmann II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Minija	L	0 - 3
04 Sep	A Jonava	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Minija	L	3 - 2
28 Aug	H Žalgiris II	L	0 - 1

1 Lyga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Minija	24	21	1	2	63	13	+50	64
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43	11	+32	61
3	Be1 NFA	24	16	2	6	43	25	+18	50
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	25	14	2	9	33	30	+3	44
5	Tauras	25	13	4	8	43	31	+12	43
6	Žalgiris II	25	13	4	8	38	32	+6	43
7	BFA	25	13	4	8	39	35	+4	43
8	Dainava	24	11	7	6	34	23	+11	40
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37	33	+4	30
10	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28	33	-5	27
11	Garliava	24	6	4	14	27	30	-3	22
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	24	7	1	16	23	38	-15	22
13	Hegelmann II	25	7	1	17	30	56	-26	22
14	Transinvest 2	25	6	3	16	29	58	-29	21
15	FA Šiauliai II	25	4	5	16	27	56	-29	17
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25	58	-33	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.