Hegelmann II vs Garliava Prediction

1 Lyga · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

Hegelmann II

Home

3 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Garliava

Away

AI call Difficult Garliava win or draw

15%

26%

58%

Home Win · 6.00 Draw · 4.60 Away Win · 1.67

Hegelmann II vs Garliava prediction: Sportiko gives Hegelmann II a 15% chance of winning, Garliava 58% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 17:51.

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Under 2.5 Goals 74% @ 2.08
Away to Score 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 40'

Penalty

HT 0–1

56' ⚽ 1–1

69' ⚽ 2–1

90' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Garliava win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 20.7%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

26%

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Hegelmann II

WLLDD

Garliava

LLLLL

Last 1 meetings Hegelmann II · 0W 1D 0L

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Hegelmann II now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Hegelmann II leads 2-1. Win probability: 83.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.8%.

70' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Hegelmann II win: 77.5%. BTTS: 100%.

57' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 57.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Garliava leads. Win probability: 88.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 57.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

58%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Garliava goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	18	21	14	6	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	2	3	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Hegelmann II goals · most likely 0–1 (20.6%)

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Players in form

Hegelmann II

No scorer data.

Garliava

Martin Genskowski 1 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

58%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	18.4%	20.7%	14.2%	6.1%	2.0%
1	6.8%	11.9%	6.8%	2.9%	1.0%
2	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
3	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

45%

35%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hegelmann II	Draw	Garliava
Hegelmann II	6.2%	2.5%	1.1%
Draw	6.5%	24.6%	20.4%
Garliava	0.5%	3.2%	35.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

62%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hegelmann II vs Garliava

0 Hegelmann II Wins

1 Draws

0 Garliava Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Garliava	1 - 1	Hegelmann II

Hegelmann II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Garliava	W	3 - 1
31 Jul	H Minija	L	0 - 4
25 Jul	A Atmosfera	L	4 - 1
21 Jul	H Žalgiris II	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Garliava	D	1 - 1

Garliava — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Hegelmann II	L	3 - 1
01 Aug	H Neptūną Klaipėda	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Jonava	L	1 - 0
26 Jun	H Minija	L	0 - 1
08 Jun	A Dainava	L	1 - 0

1 Lyga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Babrungas	18	15	3	0	31	4	+27	48
2	Minija	18	15	1	2	45	11	+34	46
3	Tauras	18	11	2	5	35	20	+15	35
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	18	11	2	5	25	20	+5	35
5	Be1 NFA	17	10	2	5	29	20	+9	32
6	Dainava	17	9	4	4	30	17	+13	31
7	BFA	18	9	1	8	25	27	-2	28
8	Žalgiris II	18	7	4	7	25	26	-1	25
9	Atmosfera	17	7	3	7	28	21	+7	24
10	Jonava	19	6	5	8	23	24	-1	23
11	Garliava	18	6	4	8	23	19	+4	22
12	Hegelmann II	19	5	1	13	20	43	-23	16
13	Transinvest 2	18	4	3	11	16	42	-26	15
14	Ekranas	19	3	2	14	19	37	-18	11
15	Kauno Žalgiris II	18	3	1	14	12	31	-19	10
16	FA Šiauliai II	18	2	4	12	16	40	-24	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.