Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction

3. Liga · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Alemannia Aachen

Home

1 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Away

Neuer Tivoli, Aachen

AI call Alemannia Aachen or draw

40%

27%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction: Sportiko gives Alemannia Aachen a 40% chance of winning, Fortuna Düsseldorf 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 13:57.

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Away to Score 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

10' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 17'

Yellow Card

▮ 35'

Erik Wekesser Yellow Card

Yellow Card

38' ▮

⇄ 45'

Yassine Bouchama ⇄ Anas Slimani

⇄ 45'

Philipp Förster ⇄ Jomaine Consbruch

⇄ 45'

Matthias Zimmermann ⇄ Steven Van Der Sloot

HT 1–0

58' ⇄

⇄ 61'

⇄ Eric Hottmann

▮ 62'

Red Card

⇄ 66'

Erik Wekesser

72' ⇄

Yellow Card

80' ▮

82' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 1–0

Alemannia Aachen

Match Stats

Fortuna Düsseldorf

44% Ball Possession 56%

16 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Goal 4

10 Shots off Goal 8

0 Blocked Shots 0

6 Corner Kicks 4

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

Alemannia Aachen or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Alemannia Aachen

WLDWL

Fortuna Düsseldorf

LWWDW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Alemannia Aachen leads 1-0. Win probability: 87.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Alemannia Aachen leads. Win probability: 72.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.3%.

12' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Alemannia Aachen win: 68.4%. BTTS: 70.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fortuna Düsseldorf goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	6	5	2	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	5	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Alemannia Aachen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.5%	5.0%	2.4%	0.8%
1	6.4%	12.7%	8.0%	3.8%	1.3%
2	6.3%	9.0%	6.4%	3.0%	1.1%
3	3.4%	4.8%	3.4%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alemannia Aachen	Draw	Fortuna Düsseldorf
Alemannia Aachen	26.3%	5.0%	2.3%
Draw	12.9%	15.9%	11.8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.2%	4.4%	19.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Alemannia Aachen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Düsseldorf	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	A Würzburger Kickers	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H SSV Jahn Regensburg	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	A FC Ingolstadt 04	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H SV Meppen	L	0 - 3

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alemannia Aachen	L	1 - 0
15 Sep	A SSV Jahn Regensburg	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H MSV Duisburg	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Fortuna Köln	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H Stuttgart II	W	1 - 0

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
14	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
16	Fortuna Köln	6	1	3	2	5	7	-2	6
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	6	1	1	4	9	12	-3	4

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: A. Ende

22 Lord

25 Zimmermann

15 Oberdorf

44 .Egouli

7 Wekesser

6 Müller

8 Hendrix

10 Förster

5 Bouchama

11 Eixler

24 Schleusener

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	L. Lord	G
7	E. Wekesser	D
44	E .Egouli	D
15	T. Oberdorf	D
25	M. Zimmermann	D
6	A. Müller	M
5	Y. Bouchama	M
10	P. Förster	M
8	J. Hendrix	M
24	F. Schleusener	F
11	L. Eixler	F

Substitutes

34	A. Slimani	M
28	S. Risch	D
1	L. Rieß	G
9	E. Hottmann	F
23	F. Gerezgiher	F
14	J. Consbruch	M
4	L. Bornschein	D
38	E. Arden	M
2	S. van der Sloot	D

Alemannia Aachen

Formation: 4-2-2-2 Coach: M. Selimbegovic

1 Riemann

21 Jung

37 Kiala

2 Bagalianis

3 Wagner

10 Loune

28 Wiebe

20 Ermolaev

7 Scepanik

27 Schröers

8 Köster

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Riemann	G
3	Matti Wagner	D
2	P. Bagalianis	D
37	J. da Silva Kiala	D
21	G. Jung	D
28	D. Wiebe	M
10	M. Loune	M
7	L. Scepanik	M
20	Georg Ermolaev	M
8	L. Köster	F
27	M. Schröers	F

Substitutes

19	N. Bitumazala	M
22	T. Hendriks	G
18	Ken Izekor	F
29	K. Koscierski	D
4	D. Leonard	D
9	D. Starodid	F
38	V. Sulejmani	F
11	M. Wäschenbach	M
30	Justin-Kai von der Hitz	D