FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction

3. Liga · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

FC Ingolstadt 04

Home

0 : 3

HT 0 - 3

Alemannia Aachen

Away

Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

AI call FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw

40%

27%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen prediction: Sportiko gives FC Ingolstadt 04 a 40% chance of winning, Alemannia Aachen 34% and the draw 27%. Last updated 4 Sep 2026, 18:52.

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1st Half Home or Draw 72%

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Timeline

▮ 3'

Yellow Card

Red Card

4' ▮

⚽ 0–1 6'

⚽ 0–2 8'

assist: Jonas Oehmichen

9' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 11'

HT 0–3

Yellow Card

53' ▮

⇄ 70'

⇄ Kacper Kościerski

⇄ 70'

72' ⇄

▮ 80'

Yellow Card

⇄ 80'

83' ⇄

⇄ 87'

FT 0–3

FC Ingolstadt 04

Match Stats

Alemannia Aachen

29% Ball Possession 71%

3 Total Shots 9

2 Shots on Goal 7

1 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 0

1 Corner Kicks 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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FC Ingolstadt 04

LLWLW

Alemannia Aachen

WLDWL

Last 1 meetings FC Ingolstadt 04 · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alemannia Aachen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	6	12	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ FC Ingolstadt 04 goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.2%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%
1	5.8%	12.2%	8.1%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.8%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%
3	3.2%	4.8%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04	26.3%	4.9%	2.2%
Draw	12.2%	15.3%	11.1%
Alemannia Aachen	2.2%	4.6%	21.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen

0 FC Ingolstadt 04 Wins

0 Draws

1 Alemannia Aachen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04	1 - 2	Alemannia Aachen

FC Ingolstadt 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Viktoria Köln	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Hoffenheim II	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A FC Saarbrücken	W	0 - 1
04 Sep	H Alemannia Aachen	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	W	0 - 2

Alemannia Aachen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Düsseldorf	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	A Würzburger Kickers	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H SSV Jahn Regensburg	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	A FC Ingolstadt 04	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H SV Meppen	L	0 - 3

3. Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	+12	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	+10	15
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	+4	14
4	FC Saarbrücken	7	4	1	2	19	12	+7	13
5	Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	0	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
8	Preußen Münster	7	3	2	2	12	13	-1	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	+1	10
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	-1	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	-3	10
12	Fortuna Köln	7	2	3	2	8	8	0	9
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
15	Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
16	Würzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	-7	6
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	-4	5
19	SV Wehen	7	1	2	4	5	13	-8	5
20	Havelse	7	1	1	5	10	15	-5	4

FC Ingolstadt 04

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: S. Wittmann

47 Klein

15 Scholz

6 Antzoulas

4 Decker

14 Plath

8 Carlsen

41 Šapina

20 Deichmann

28 Velupillay

13 Lokotsch

5 Gül

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
47	D. Klein	G
4	Elias Decker	D
6	G. Antzoulas	D
15	J. Scholz	D
20	Y. Deichmann	M
41	V. Šapina	M
8	F. Carlsen	M
14	Max Plath	M
5	Emre Gül	F
13	L. Lokotsch	F
28	N. Velupillay	F

Substitutes

7	Seo Jong-Min	F
1	M. Ponath	G
23	J. Maljojoki	D
16	J. Ganda	F
34	L. Fröde	M
11	S. Durakov	F
30	Ognjen Drakulic	F
27	Tomislav Bagaric	D
43	O. Oladosu	F

Alemannia Aachen

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Selimbegovic

23 Bajić

2 Bagalianis

21 Jung

37 Kiala

3 Wagner

10 Loune

28 Wiebe

7 Scepanik

44 Oehmichen

8 Köster

27 Schröers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	S. Bajić	G
37	J. da Silva Kiala	D
21	G. Jung	D
2	P. Bagalianis	D
7	L. Scepanik	M
28	D. Wiebe	M
10	M. Loune	M
3	Matti Wagner	M
8	L. Köster	M
44	J. Oehmichen	M
27	M. Schröers	F

Substitutes

30	Justin-Kai von der Hitz	D
20	Georg Ermolaev	F
19	N. Bitumazala	M
18	Ken Eghosa Gideon Izekor	F
29	K. Koscierski	D
4	D. Leonard	D
1	M. Riemann	G
9	D. Starodid	F
11	M. Wäschenbach	M