1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

2. Bundesliga 2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
AI call 1. FC Magdeburg or draw
39%
27%
34%
Home Win Draw Away Win

1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Magdeburg a 39% chance of winning, FC St. Pauli 34% and the draw 27%. Last updated 8 Nov 2026, 14:25.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

Mateusz Żukowski assist: Torben Müsel
27' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Connor Metcalfe ⇄ Samuel Klein
⇄ 45'
Mathias Rasmussen ⇄ Youssoupha Niang
⇄ Felipe Chávez
45' ⇄
HT 1–0
Anselmo Garcia McNulty assist: Felipe Chávez
48' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 56'
David Nemeth Yellow Card
Tobias Müller Yellow Card
57' ▮
⚽ 2–1 58'
Eric Smith assist: Branimir Hrgota
▮ 60'
Joel Chima Fujita Yellow Card
Anselmo Garcia McNulty Yellow Card
61' ▮
Tobias Müller ⇄ D. Heber
61' ⇄
⇄ 61'
Abdoulie Ceesay ⇄ Martijn Kaars
▮ 65'
Eric Smith Yellow Card
Alexander Nollenberger ⇄ Herbert Bockhorn
78' ⇄
▮ 82'
Louis Oppie Red Card
⇄ 85'
Branimir Hrgota ⇄ Taichi Hara
Mateusz Żukowski ⇄ Roko Šimić
88' ⇄
Emmanuel Iyoha ⇄ Richmond Tachie
88' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Joel Chima Fujita ⇄ Ricky-Jade Jones
Herbert Bockhorn assist: Luka Hyryläinen
89' ⚽ 3–1
Roko Šimić assist: Pierre Nadjombe
90+1' ⚽ 4–1
▮ 90+6'
Samuel Klein Yellow Card
FT 4–1
1. FC Magdeburg

Match Stats

FC St. Pauli
51% Ball Possession 49%
3.19 Expected Goals (xG) 1.2
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 7
3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
418 Total passes 417
331 Passes accurate 326
16 Free Kicks 9
1. FC Magdeburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Mateusz Żukowski F 7.9 88' 1 – 1 16 (13%) –
7 Herbert Bockhorn D 7.5 12' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
9 Roko Šimić F 7.5 2' 1 – 1 – –
11 Felipe Chávez M 7.3 44' – 1 2 15 (12%) 1
28 Pierre Nadjombe D 7.1 90' – 1 1 44 (40%) 2
26 Torben Müsel M 7.1 90' – 1 – 37 (27%) 3
38 Luka Hyryläinen M 7.0 90' – 1 – 35 (26%) –
1 Dominik Reimann G 6.9 90' – – – 53 (43%) –
3 Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 6.8 90' 1 – 3 65 (51%) –
15 D. Heber D 6.7 29' – – – 9 (6%) 2
5 Tobias Müller D 6.6 61' – – – 44 (40%) 2
29 Richmond Tachie F 6.5 2' – – – 3 (3%) –
Seamus Maughan 6.4 46' – – 1 10 (7%) –
17 Alexander Nollenberger D 6.4 78' – – 1 37 (27%) 1
8 Emmanuel Iyoha F 6.3 88' – – 1 16 (9%) 3
23 Barış Atik F 6.3 90' – – – 38 (29%) 1
FC St. Pauli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Eric Smith D 7.7 90' 1 – 1 65 (56%) 4
10 Branimir Hrgota F 7.1 85' – 1 3 38 (32%) –
24 Connor Metcalfe M 6.6 46' – – – 19 (15%) 1
9 Abdoulie Ceesay F 6.5 61' – – 3 12 (8%) 3
18 Taichi Hara F 6.4 5' – – – 3 (1%) –
26 Ricky-Jade Jones F 6.3 2' – – – – –
19 Martijn Kaars F 6.2 29' – – – 8 (8%) –
11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M 6.1 90' – – – 62 (49%) 2
7 Youssoupha Niang F 6.1 44' – – – 8 (6%) –
4 David Nemeth D 5.9 90' – – – 40 (34%) 2
22 Samuel Klein M 5.8 44' – – 2 13 (10%) –
20 Mathias Rasmussen M 5.7 46' – – – 23 (17%) 2
1 Ben Voll G 5.7 90' – – – 25 (15%) –
16 Joel Chima Fujita M 5.4 88' – – – 42 (30%) 2
21 Lars Ritzka D 5.4 90' – – 1 37 (25%) 1
23 Louis Oppie M 5.2 82' – – 2 29 (24%) –
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
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1. FC Magdeburg
WDLWL
FC St. Pauli
LLDDW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

1. FC Magdeburg now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

1. FC Magdeburg now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

1. FC Magdeburg now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: 1. FC Magdeburg leads 2-1. Win probability: 83.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.5%.

59' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. 1. FC Magdeburg win: 75.5%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

1. FC Magdeburg
E. Iyoha 6 gls
M. Żukowski 6 gls
FC St. Pauli
Abdoulie Ceesay 5 gls

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Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

1. FC Magdeburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H FC St. Pauli W 4 - 1
31 Oct A SV Darmstadt 98 D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Bayern München L 6 - 1
24 Oct H Karlsruher SC W 6 - 1
18 Oct A Dynamo Dresden L 2 - 0

FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A 1. FC Magdeburg L 4 - 1
01 Nov H 1. FC Nürnberg L 1 - 3
23 Oct A SV Darmstadt 98 D 0 - 0
17 Oct A Hannover 96 D 1 - 1
11 Oct H Karlsruher SC W 2 - 0

2. Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Hertha BSC
11 10 1 0 +16 31
2
1. FC Nürnberg
11 7 3 1 +13 24
3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
11 6 3 2 +3 21
4
1. FC Magdeburg
11 6 2 3 +11 20
5
VfL Wolfsburg
11 5 4 2 +10 19
6
Arminia Bielefeld
11 5 2 4 +2 17
7
1. FC Heidenheim
11 4 4 3 -1 16
8
VfL Bochum
11 4 2 5 -2 14
9
FC St. Pauli
11 2 6 3 -3 12
10
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11 3 3 5 -6 12
11
Hannover 96
11 3 3 5 -6 12
12
Energie Cottbus
11 2 5 4 -2 11
13
Eintracht Braunschweig
11 3 2 6 -2 11
14
VfL Osnabrück
11 3 2 6 -4 11
15
Dynamo Dresden
11 3 2 6 -5 11
16
Karlsruher SC
11 3 2 6 -9 11
17
SV Darmstadt 98
11 2 3 6 -12 9
18
Holstein Kiel
11 1 5 5 -3 8

FC St. Pauli

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: M. Rapp
1 Voll
21 Ritzka
4 Nemeth
8 Smith
23 Oppie
16 Fujita
20 Rasmussen
11 Pyrka
24 Metcalfe
9 Ceesay
10 Hrgota

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Voll G
8 E. Smith D
4 D. Nemeth D
21 L. Ritzka D
11 A. Pyrka M
20 M. Rasmussen M
16 J. Fujita M
23 L. Oppie M
24 C. Metcalfe M
10 B. Hrgota F
9 Abdoulie Ceesay F

Substitutes

7 Y. Niang F
33 D. Mitov G
6 M. Mathisen D
22 Samuel Klein M
19 M. Kaars F
26 R. Jones F
18 T. Hara F
25 A. Dźwigała D
15 T. Ando D

1. FC Magdeburg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: P. Sander
1 Reimann
17 Nollenberger
3 MacNulty
5 Müller
28 Nadjombe
33 Mergner
38 Hyryläinen
26 Müsel
23 Atik
22 Żukowski
8 Iyoha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Reimann G
28 P. Nadjombe D
5 T. Müller D
3 A. MacNulty D
17 A. Nollenberger D
26 T. Müsel M
38 L. Hyryläinen M
33 Leon Mergner M
8 E. Iyoha F
22 M. Żukowski F
23 B. Atik F

Substitutes

35 Magnus Elias Baars F
7 H. Bockhorn D
11 F. Chávez M
15 D. Heber D
6 P. Jaeckel D
30 N. Kruth G
14 Tony Reitz M
9 R. Šimić F
29 R. Tachie F

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